PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sovcombank Arena

Nizhny Novgorod 1–1 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nizhny Novgorod and Dynamo Moscow drew 1–1.

Shots
620
Shots on target
14
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nizhny Novgorod and Dynamo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Nizhny Novgorod – Dynamo): shots 6–20, shots on target 1–4, possession 28%–72%, corners 2–12. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.84 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Dynamo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Dynamo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsNizhny Novgorod · Dynamo15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNizhny NovgorodDynamoBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Dynamo have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.1%PossessionNizhny Novgorod · Dynamo● 55.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNizhny NovgorodDynamoBaseline
Possession43.1%55.2%47.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots20 shotsNizhny Novgorod 6 shots, Dynamo Moscow 20 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsNizhny Novgorod 1 shot, Dynamo Moscow 4 shots
  • Possession28%72%Nizhny Novgorod 28%, Dynamo Moscow 72%
  • Corners2 corners12 cornersNizhny Novgorod 2 corners, Dynamo Moscow 12 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsNizhny Novgorod 15 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards1 cardNizhny Novgorod 5 cards, Dynamo Moscow 1 card
  • Passes226 passes560 passesNizhny Novgorod 226 passes, Dynamo Moscow 560 passes
  • Pass accuracy63%82%Nizhny Novgorod 63%, Dynamo Moscow 82%
  • Shots inside box5 shots13 shotsNizhny Novgorod 5 shots, Dynamo Moscow 13 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks5 blocksNizhny Novgorod 3 blocks, Dynamo Moscow 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves0 savesNizhny Novgorod 3 saves, Dynamo Moscow 0 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideNizhny Novgorod 4 offsides, Dynamo Moscow 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nizhny Novgorod
2Draws
3Dynamo Moscow
Dynamo Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League3–0
Nizhny Novgorod — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League1–1
Dynamo Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League3–1
Nizhny Novgorod — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League1–4
Dynamo Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nizhny Novgorod favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nizhny Novgorod25 matchesDynamo Moscow25 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.76 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.44 goals/match
11.3 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 15.9 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.68 shots/match
43.1%Possession25/25● 55.2%
4.44 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.52 corners/match
2.86 cards/matchCards21/222.09 cards/match
16.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsNizhny NovgorodDynamo Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headNizhny Novgorod — Dynamo Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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