PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Rostec Arena

Baltika Kaliningrad 4–0 FC Sochi · Premier League

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Baltika Kaliningrad won 4–0.

Shots
185
Shots on target
71
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Baltika beat FC Sochi 4–0. Recorded in this match (Baltika – FC Sochi): shots 18–5, shots on target 7–1, possession 52%–48%, corners 1–1. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Sochi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Sochi's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Sochi show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Sochi's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBaltika · FC Sochi7.77 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBaltikaFC SochiBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match7.77 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match15.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots5 shotsBaltika Kaliningrad 18 shots, FC Sochi 5 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotBaltika Kaliningrad 7 shots, FC Sochi 1 shot
  • Possession52%48%Baltika Kaliningrad 52%, FC Sochi 48%
  • Corners1 corner1 cornerBaltika Kaliningrad 1 corner, FC Sochi 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls18 foulsBaltika Kaliningrad 16 fouls, FC Sochi 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardBaltika Kaliningrad 3 cards, FC Sochi 1 card
  • Passes405 passes376 passesBaltika Kaliningrad 405 passes, FC Sochi 376 passes
  • Pass accuracy71%65%Baltika Kaliningrad 71%, FC Sochi 65%
  • Shots inside box14 shots3 shotsBaltika Kaliningrad 14 shots, FC Sochi 3 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks1 blockBaltika Kaliningrad 4 blocks, FC Sochi 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesBaltika Kaliningrad 1 save, FC Sochi 3 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides2 offsidesBaltika Kaliningrad 4 offsides, FC Sochi 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Baltika Kaliningrad
1Draws
1FC Sochi
FC Sochi — Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League0–2
Baltika Kaliningrad — FC Sochi · Premier League0–0
FC Sochi — Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Baltika Kaliningrad favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · FC Sochi in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Baltika Kaliningrad22 matchesFC Sochi22 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/220.91 goals/match
0.41 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/222.36 goals/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots22/227.77 shots/match
4.23 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/222.55 shots/match
45.5%Possession22/22● 46.2%
3.32 corners/match ●Corners22/223.23 corners/match
3.24 cards/matchCards21/212.38 cards/match
19.3 fouls/matchFouls22/2214.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBaltika KaliningradFC Sochi
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headBaltika Kaliningrad — FC Sochi
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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