PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sovcombank Arena

Nizhny Novgorod 2–1 FC Sochi · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nizhny Novgorod won 2–1.

Shots
195
Shots on target
63
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nizhny Novgorod beat FC Sochi 2–1. Recorded in this match (Nizhny Novgorod – FC Sochi): shots 19–5, shots on target 6–3, possession 50%–50%, corners 8–1. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.75 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Sochi show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Sochi's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsNizhny Novgorod · FC Sochi8.05 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNizhny NovgorodFC SochiBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match8.05 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match14.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots5 shotsNizhny Novgorod 19 shots, FC Sochi 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsNizhny Novgorod 6 shots, FC Sochi 3 shots
  • Possession50%50%Nizhny Novgorod 50%, FC Sochi 50%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerNizhny Novgorod 8 corners, FC Sochi 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsNizhny Novgorod 11 fouls, FC Sochi 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardNizhny Novgorod 2 cards, FC Sochi 1 card
  • Passes377 passes381 passesNizhny Novgorod 377 passes, FC Sochi 381 passes
  • Pass accuracy77%76%Nizhny Novgorod 77%, FC Sochi 76%
  • Shots inside box11 shots2 shotsNizhny Novgorod 11 shots, FC Sochi 2 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks1 blockNizhny Novgorod 5 blocks, FC Sochi 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesNizhny Novgorod 2 saves, FC Sochi 4 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideNizhny Novgorod 4 offsides, FC Sochi 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nizhny Novgorod
0Draws
3FC Sochi
FC Sochi — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League2–1
Nizhny Novgorod — FC Sochi · Premier League1–3
FC Sochi — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League1–2
FC Sochi — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League6–1
Nizhny Novgorod — FC Sochi · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nizhny Novgorod favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · FC Sochi in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nizhny Novgorod20 matchesFC Sochi20 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 0.95 goals/match
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/202.3 goals/match
11.7 shots/match ▲Shots20/208.05 shots/match
4.1 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/202.65 shots/match
44%Possession20/20● 46.7%
4.3 corners/match ●Corners20/203.3 corners/match
2.7 cards/matchCards20/202.4 cards/match
17.1 fouls/matchFouls20/2013.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsNizhny NovgorodFC Sochi
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headNizhny Novgorod — FC Sochi
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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