PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Gazovik Stadium

Orenburg 2–1 Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Orenburg won 2–1.

Shots
1316
Shots on target
55
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Orenburg beat Zenit 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Orenburg – Zenit): shots 13–16, shots on target 5–5, possession 38%–62%, corners 8–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Orenburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Orenburg's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match12 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.5 corners/matchCornersFC Orenburg · Zenit● 5.85 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC OrenburgZenitBaseline
Corners5.5 corners/match5.85 corners/match4.39 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Zenit have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.5%PossessionFC Orenburg · Zenit● 61.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC OrenburgZenitBaseline
Possession48.5%61.5%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots16 shotsOrenburg 13 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsOrenburg 5 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 5 shots
  • Possession38%62%Orenburg 38%, Zenit St. Petersburg 62%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersOrenburg 8 corners, Zenit St. Petersburg 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls6 foulsOrenburg 18 fouls, Zenit St. Petersburg 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsOrenburg 2 cards, Zenit St. Petersburg 0 cards
  • Passes293 passes503 passesOrenburg 293 passes, Zenit St. Petersburg 503 passes
  • Pass accuracy76%84%Orenburg 76%, Zenit St. Petersburg 84%
  • Shots inside box9 shots10 shotsOrenburg 9 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 10 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks4 blocksOrenburg 4 blocks, Zenit St. Petersburg 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves4 savesOrenburg 3 saves, Zenit St. Petersburg 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesOrenburg 1 offside, Zenit St. Petersburg 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Orenburg
0Draws
5Zenit St. Petersburg
Zenit St. Petersburg — Orenburg · Russian Cup6–0
Zenit St. Petersburg — Orenburg · Premier League5–2
Orenburg — Zenit St. Petersburg · Russian Cup3–5
Orenburg — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League0–1
Zenit St. Petersburg — Orenburg · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Orenburg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Zenit St. Petersburg in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Orenburg20 matchesZenit St. Petersburg20 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.7 goals/match
12 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 12.9 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 5.25 shots/match
48.5%Possession20/20● 61.5%
5.5 corners/matchCorners20/20● 5.85 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards20/201.45 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls20/209.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsOrenburgZenit St. Petersburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headOrenburg — Zenit St. Petersburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required