PitchMath
Premier League · 2025VEB Arena

CSKA Moscow 1–4 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dynamo Moscow won 1–4.

Shots
1324
Shots on target
37
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dynamo beat CSKA Moscow 4–1. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – Dynamo): shots 13–24, shots on target 3–7, possession 56%–44%, corners 8–9. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Dynamo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Dynamo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.75 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Dynamo show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Dynamo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsCSKA Moscow · Dynamo15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCSKA MoscowDynamoBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match15.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.25 corners/matchCornersCSKA Moscow · Dynamo5.25 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCSKA MoscowDynamoBaseline
Corners5.25 corners/match5.25 corners/match4.39 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots24 shotsCSKA Moscow 13 shots, Dynamo Moscow 24 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsCSKA Moscow 3 shots, Dynamo Moscow 7 shots
  • Possession56%44%CSKA Moscow 56%, Dynamo Moscow 44%
  • Corners8 corners9 cornersCSKA Moscow 8 corners, Dynamo Moscow 9 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls15 foulsCSKA Moscow 8 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsCSKA Moscow 0 cards, Dynamo Moscow 2 cards
  • Passes532 passes405 passesCSKA Moscow 532 passes, Dynamo Moscow 405 passes
  • Pass accuracy85%82%CSKA Moscow 85%, Dynamo Moscow 82%
  • Shots inside box9 shots12 shotsCSKA Moscow 9 shots, Dynamo Moscow 12 shots
  • Blocked shots9 blocks10 blocksCSKA Moscow 9 blocks, Dynamo Moscow 10 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesCSKA Moscow 3 saves, Dynamo Moscow 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideCSKA Moscow 2 offsides, Dynamo Moscow 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3CSKA Moscow
0Draws
2Dynamo Moscow
Dynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow · Premier League1–3
CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League3–1
Dynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow · Premier League1–2
CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League2–3
Dynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow20 matchesDynamo Moscow20 matches
1.55 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.35 goals/match
13.9 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 15.7 shots/match
4.65 shots/matchShots on target20/204.8 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession20/2054.3%
5.25 corners/matchCorners20/205.25 corners/match
2.15 cards/matchCards20/201.95 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls20/2013.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowDynamo Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headCSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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