PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Akhmat-Arena

Akhmat Grozny 1–0 CSKA Moscow · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny won 1–0.

Shots
1721
Shots on target
65
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat beat CSKA Moscow 1–0. Recorded in this match (Akhmat – CSKA Moscow): shots 17–21, shots on target 6–5, possession 35%–65%, corners 5–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CSKA Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.58 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Akhmat show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Akhmat's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAkhmat · CSKA Moscow13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAkhmatCSKA MoscowBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

CSKA Moscow have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.2%PossessionAkhmat · CSKA Moscow● 55.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAkhmatCSKA MoscowBaseline
Possession46.2%55.6%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots21 shotsAkhmat Grozny 17 shots, CSKA Moscow 21 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsAkhmat Grozny 6 shots, CSKA Moscow 5 shots
  • Possession35%65%Akhmat Grozny 35%, CSKA Moscow 65%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersAkhmat Grozny 5 corners, CSKA Moscow 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsAkhmat Grozny 14 fouls, CSKA Moscow 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards0 cardsAkhmat Grozny 3 cards, CSKA Moscow 0 cards
  • Passes271 passes516 passesAkhmat Grozny 271 passes, CSKA Moscow 516 passes
  • Pass accuracy71%84%Akhmat Grozny 71%, CSKA Moscow 84%
  • Shots inside box11 shots15 shotsAkhmat Grozny 11 shots, CSKA Moscow 15 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks7 blocksAkhmat Grozny 6 blocks, CSKA Moscow 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves5 savesAkhmat Grozny 5 saves, CSKA Moscow 5 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides0 offsidesAkhmat Grozny 4 offsides, CSKA Moscow 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Akhmat Grozny
1Draws
3CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League2–1
Akhmat Grozny — CSKA Moscow · Premier League1–1
CSKA Moscow — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League3–0
CSKA Moscow — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League1–2
Akhmat Grozny — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny19 matchesCSKA Moscow19 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 0.95 goals/match
13.1 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 13.9 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 4.74 shots/match
46.2%Possession19/19● 55.6%
4.47 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.11 corners/match
2.21 cards/matchCards19/192.21 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headAkhmat Grozny — CSKA Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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