PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Ozon Arena

FK Krasnodar 3–2 CSKA Moscow · Premier League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 3–2.

Shots
199
Shots on target
53
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Krasnodar beat CSKA Moscow 3–2. Recorded in this match (FC Krasnodar – CSKA Moscow): shots 19–9, shots on target 5–3, possession 60%–40%, corners 9–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Krasnodar show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Krasnodar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Krasnodar · CSKA Moscow13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC KrasnodarCSKA MoscowBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against9.39 shots/match14.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Krasnodar's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Krasnodar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match2.06 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Krasnodar have a visible home split

moderate

FC Krasnodar's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsFK Krasnodar 19 shots, CSKA Moscow 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsFK Krasnodar 5 shots, CSKA Moscow 3 shots
  • Possession60%40%FK Krasnodar 60%, CSKA Moscow 40%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersFK Krasnodar 9 corners, CSKA Moscow 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsFK Krasnodar 13 fouls, CSKA Moscow 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsFK Krasnodar 2 cards, CSKA Moscow 4 cards
  • Passes418 passes274 passesFK Krasnodar 418 passes, CSKA Moscow 274 passes
  • Pass accuracy82%73%FK Krasnodar 82%, CSKA Moscow 73%
  • Shots inside box13 shots5 shotsFK Krasnodar 13 shots, CSKA Moscow 5 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks3 blocksFK Krasnodar 5 blocks, CSKA Moscow 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesFK Krasnodar 1 save, CSKA Moscow 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesFK Krasnodar 0 offsides, CSKA Moscow 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FK Krasnodar
1Draws
2CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–1
CSKA Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–0
FK Krasnodar — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–1
FK Krasnodar — CSKA Moscow · Premier League1–0
CSKA Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar18 matchesCSKA Moscow18 matches
2.06 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/180.94 goals/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots18/1813.6 shots/match
4.78 shots/matchShots on target18/184.72 shots/match
58.3% ●Possession18/1855.1%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners18/185 corners/match
2.56 cards/matchCards18/182.33 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headFK Krasnodar — CSKA Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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