PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Ak Bars Arena

Rubin Kazan 0–3 Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Baltika Kaliningrad won 0–3.

Shots
720
Shots on target
27
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Baltika beat Rubin 3–0. Recorded in this match (Rubin – Baltika): shots 7–20, shots on target 2–7, possession 54%–46%, corners 4–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Baltika's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Baltika's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.5 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

16.3 fouls/matchFoulsRubin · Baltika20.5 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRubinBaltikaBaseline
Fouls16.3 fouls/match20.5 fouls/match14.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots20 shotsRubin Kazan 7 shots, Baltika Kaliningrad 20 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsRubin Kazan 2 shots, Baltika Kaliningrad 7 shots
  • Possession54%46%Rubin Kazan 54%, Baltika Kaliningrad 46%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersRubin Kazan 4 corners, Baltika Kaliningrad 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls17 foulsRubin Kazan 18 fouls, Baltika Kaliningrad 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsRubin Kazan 2 cards, Baltika Kaliningrad 4 cards
  • Passes414 passes361 passesRubin Kazan 414 passes, Baltika Kaliningrad 361 passes
  • Pass accuracy66%65%Rubin Kazan 66%, Baltika Kaliningrad 65%
  • Shots inside box5 shots10 shotsRubin Kazan 5 shots, Baltika Kaliningrad 10 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksRubin Kazan 1 block, Baltika Kaliningrad 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves2 savesRubin Kazan 4 saves, Baltika Kaliningrad 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesRubin Kazan 2 offsides, Baltika Kaliningrad 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Rubin Kazan
0Draws
0Baltika Kaliningrad
Baltika Kaliningrad — Rubin Kazan · Premier League0–1
Rubin Kazan — Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rubin Kazan favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Baltika Kaliningrad in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rubin Kazan12 matchesBaltika Kaliningrad12 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.5 goals/match
11.2 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 12.7 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 4.67 shots/match
41.3%Possession12/12● 45%
4.83 corners/match ●Corners12/123.33 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCards12/123.25 cards/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1220.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsRubin KazanBaltika Kaliningrad
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headRubin Kazan — Baltika Kaliningrad
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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