PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Ozon Arena

FK Krasnodar 1–0 Rubin Kazan · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 1–0.

Shots
85
Shots on target
11
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Krasnodar beat Rubin 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Krasnodar – Rubin): shots 8–5, shots on target 1–1, possession 61%–39%, corners 3–1. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Krasnodar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Krasnodar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.92 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rubin show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rubin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Krasnodar · Rubin10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC KrasnodarRubinBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match10.7 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against8.69 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Krasnodar have a visible home split

moderate

FC Krasnodar's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match15.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots5 shotsFK Krasnodar 8 shots, Rubin Kazan 5 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot1 shotFK Krasnodar 1 shot, Rubin Kazan 1 shot
  • Possession61%39%FK Krasnodar 61%, Rubin Kazan 39%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerFK Krasnodar 3 corners, Rubin Kazan 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls21 foulsFK Krasnodar 10 fouls, Rubin Kazan 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardFK Krasnodar 2 cards, Rubin Kazan 1 card
  • Passes541 passes327 passesFK Krasnodar 541 passes, Rubin Kazan 327 passes
  • Pass accuracy80%69%FK Krasnodar 80%, Rubin Kazan 69%
  • Shots inside box4 shots3 shotsFK Krasnodar 4 shots, Rubin Kazan 3 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block0 blocksFK Krasnodar 1 block, Rubin Kazan 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save0 savesFK Krasnodar 1 save, Rubin Kazan 0 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesFK Krasnodar 0 offsides, Rubin Kazan 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FK Krasnodar
2Draws
0Rubin Kazan
FK Krasnodar — Rubin Kazan · Premier League2–1
Rubin Kazan — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–1
FK Krasnodar — Rubin Kazan · Premier League1–1
Rubin Kazan — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Rubin Kazan in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar13 matchesRubin Kazan13 matches
1.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.15 goals/match
0.54 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.46 goals/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots13/1310.7 shots/match
4.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.31 shots/match
58% ●Possession13/1341.2%
4.92 corners/match ●Corners13/134.54 corners/match
2.31 cards/matchCards13/132 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1316.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarRubin Kazan
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headFK Krasnodar — Rubin Kazan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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