Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara 2–1 Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santa Clara won 2–1.

Shots
143
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
2.550.15
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santa Clara beat SC Braga 2–1. Recorded in this match (Santa Clara – SC Braga): shots 14–3, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 2.55–0.15, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Braga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Braga's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.97 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for SC Braga.

8 days ▲Rest daysSanta Clara · SC Braga2.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSanta ClaraSC BragaBaseline
Rest days8 days2.96 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

SC Braga have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.2%PossessionSanta Clara · SC Braga● 63.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSanta ClaraSC BragaBaseline
Possession49.2%63.9%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots3 shotsSanta Clara 14 shots, Sporting Braga 3 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsSanta Clara 3 shots, Sporting Braga 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.55 xG0.15 xGSanta Clara 2.55 xG, Sporting Braga 0.15 xG
  • Possession37%63%Santa Clara 37%, Sporting Braga 63%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerSanta Clara 4 corners, Sporting Braga 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsSanta Clara 15 fouls, Sporting Braga 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsSanta Clara 4 cards, Sporting Braga 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Frederico Venâncio · Santa Clara · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Klismahn · Santa Clara · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 30′ · 0.02 xG · goalJosé Tavares · Santa Clara · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosé Tavares · Santa Clara · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmine El Ouazzani · SC Braga · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 83′ · 0.03 xG · goalRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 38′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSidney Lima · Santa Clara · 41′ · 0.11 xG · on targetGonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 5′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFrederico Venâncio · Santa Clara · 70′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 71′ · 0.24 xG · goalBrenner · Santa Clara · 79′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedWelinton Torrao · Santa Clara · 66′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 9′ · 0.83 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Santa Clara: 14 shots, 3 on target, 2.50 xG. SC Braga: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Gonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 71′Gabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 83′Rodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 30′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Santa Clara 2.50 xG · SC Braga 0.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Santa Clara
1Draws
4Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga1–0
Sporting Braga — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga1–1
Santa Clara — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga0–2
Sporting Braga — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga5–3
Santa Clara — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santa Clara favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting Braga in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santa Clara33 matchesSporting Braga33 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.97 goals/match
1.15 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1 goal/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals32/31▲ 1.75 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots33/3312.1 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 4.97 shots/match
49.2%Possession33/33● 63.9%
4.73 corners/matchCorners33/33● 5.48 corners/match
3.23 cards/matchCards26/262.15 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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