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Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril Praia 0–1 Famalicão · Primeira Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Famalicão won 0–1.

Shots
96
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.661.05
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Famalicao beat Estoril 1–0. Recorded in this match (Estoril – Famalicao): shots 9–6, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.66–1.05, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Estoril's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Estoril's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.64 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Famalicao have a visible away split

moderate

Famalicao's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots6 shotsEstoril Praia 9 shots, Famalicão 6 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsEstoril Praia 2 shots, Famalicão 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.66 xG1.05 xGEstoril Praia 0.66 xG, Famalicão 1.05 xG
  • Possession55%45%Estoril Praia 55%, Famalicão 45%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersEstoril Praia 9 corners, Famalicão 4 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls11 foulsEstoril Praia 19 fouls, Famalicão 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsEstoril Praia 0 cards, Famalicão 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ibrahima Ba · Famalicao · 27′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGustavo García · Famalicao · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetXeka · Estoril · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Amaral · Estoril · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Carvalho · Estoril · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRicard Sánchez · Estoril · 8′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGil Dias · Famalicao · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYanis Begraoui · Estoril · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedXeka · Estoril · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSorriso · Famalicao · 3′ · 0.10 xG · on targetSimon Elisor · Famalicao · 9′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAntef Tsoungui · Estoril · 82′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYanis Begraoui · Estoril · 43′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedYanis Begraoui · Estoril · 76′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedJustin De Haas · Famalicao · 51′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Estoril: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.69 xG. Famalicao: 6 shots, 6 on target, 1.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Justin De Haas · Famalicao · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Estoril 0.69 xG · Famalicao 1.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Estoril Praia
0Draws
3Famalicão
Famalicão — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga4–0
Estoril Praia — Famalicão · Taca de Portugal1–2
Famalicão — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga3–0
Estoril Praia — Famalicão · Primeira Liga2–1
Estoril Praia — Famalicão · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estoril Praia favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Famalicão in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estoril Praia33 matchesFamalicão33 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.3 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 0.85 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.31 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots33/3312.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 4.33 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession33/3351.6%
4.52 corners/matchCorners33/33● 5.36 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards25/252.64 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls33/3315.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEstoril PraiaFamalicão
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headEstoril Praia — Famalicão
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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