Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitória SC 5–0 Tondela · Primeira Liga

5–0Historical match

Tondela

WDLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória SC won 5–0.

Shots
123
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
2.550.06
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guimaraes beat Tondela 5–0. Recorded in this match (Guimaraes – Tondela): shots 12–3, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 2.55–0.06, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tondela's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tondela's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.72 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.72 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tondela show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Tondela's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsGuimaraes · Tondela10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGuimaraesTondelaBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots3 shotsVitória SC 12 shots, Tondela 3 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotVitória SC 5 shots, Tondela 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.55 xG0.06 xGVitória SC 2.55 xG, Tondela 0.06 xG
  • Possession52%48%Vitória SC 52%, Tondela 48%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerVitória SC 3 corners, Tondela 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls17 foulsVitória SC 14 fouls, Tondela 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardVitória SC 1 card, Tondela 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

João Mendes · Guimaraes · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Maviram · Tondela · 34′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJoe Hodge · Tondela · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArjen Van Der Heide · Tondela · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Sousa · Guimaraes · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Nogueira · Guimaraes · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 5′ · 0.07 xG · goalGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 55′ · 0.08 xG · goalGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 24′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNoah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 76′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJoão Mendes · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Nogueira · Guimaraes · 18′ · 0.20 xG · goalThiago Balieiro · Guimaraes · 42′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 51′ · 0.82 xG · goalJoão Mendes · Guimaraes · 65′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Guimaraes: 12 shots, 5 on target, 2.63 xG. Tondela: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.06 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Oumar Camara · Guimaraes · 5′Miguel Nogueira · Guimaraes · 18′Samu · Guimaraes · 51′Gustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 55′João Mendes · Guimaraes · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Guimaraes 2.63 xG · Tondela 0.06 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Vitória SC
1Draws
0Tondela
Tondela — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga0–1
Tondela — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga1–1
Vitória SC — Tondela · Primeira Liga5–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória SC favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Tondela in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória SC29 matchesTondela29 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/290.72 goals/match
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.59 goals/match
1.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.08 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots29/2910.4 shots/match
3.97 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/293.31 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession29/2943.3%
4.45 corners/match ●Corners29/293.97 corners/match
2.56 cards/matchCards25/242.92 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls29/2914.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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