Primeira Liga · 2025Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

AVS - Futebol SAD

DDLDL

1–1Full-time recap

Vitória SC

DLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	AVS - Futebol SAD	Vitória SC
Shots	17 shots/match▲	14 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.01 xG/match	2.62 xG/match▲
Possession	39%	61%●
Corners	5 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

AVS - Futebol SAD: 17 shots, 4 on target, 0.97 xG. Vitória SC: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AVS - Futebol SAD 0.97 xG · Vitória SC 2.68 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AVS - Futebol SAD's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Vitória SC have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

AVS - Futebol SAD's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AVS - Futebol SAD's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.66 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.2 goals/match	0.66 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Vitória SC have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.6%PossessionAVS - Futebol SAD · Vitória SC●50.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	AVS - Futebol SAD	Vitória SC	Baseline
Possession	40.6%	50.5%	49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1AVS - Futebol SAD

0Draws

2Vitória SC

28 Nov 2025Vitória SC — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga4–0

1 Feb 2025Vitória SC — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga2–0

25 Aug 2024AVS - Futebol SAD — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

AVS - Futebol SAD favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Vitória SC in 11 · 2 too close

0.66 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 29/31▲1.29 goals/match

2.14 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 29/31▲1.42 goals/match

0.85 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 29/30▲1.3 xG/match

1.76 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 29/30▲1.33 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/31▲13.4 shots/match

14.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 29/31▲11.6 shots/match

2.9 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 29/31▲4.1 shots/match

5.24 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 29/31▲4.32 shots/match

40.6%Possessionseason · 29/31●50.5%

3.59 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/31●4.42 corners/match

5.72 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 29/31▲3.84 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/252.56 cards/match

14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/3114.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/31▲29%

41%Scoring frequencyseason · 29/31▲68%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AVS - Futebol SAD2.6

Vitória SC65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AVS - Futebol SAD18.4

Vitória SC63.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AVS - Futebol SAD7.9

Vitória SC57

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AVS - Futebol SAD76.3

Vitória SC65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AVS - Futebol SAD57.9

Vitória SC52.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AVS - Futebol SAD15.8

Vitória SC50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AVS - Futebol SAD30.9

Vitória SC63.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

AVS - Futebol SAD29 matchesVitória SC31 matches

0.66 goals/matchGoals scored29/31▲1.29 goals/match

2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed29/31▲1.42 goals/match

0.85 xG/matchExpected goals29/30▲1.3 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShots29/31▲13.4 shots/match

2.9 shots/matchShots on target29/31▲4.1 shots/match

40.6%Possession29/31●50.5%

3.59 corners/matchCorners29/31●4.42 corners/match

—Cards0/252.56 cards/match

14.1 fouls/matchFouls29/3114.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

AVS - Futebol SAD15 matchesVitória SC15 matches

0.73 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲0.8 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.73 goals/match

0.88 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲1.36 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots15/15▲13.4 shots/match

3.47 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲3.93 shots/match

41%Possession15/15●52.9%

3.73 corners/matchCorners15/15●4.27 corners/match

—Cards0/122.17 cards/match

14.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples29 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4