PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente 0–1 Vitória SC · Primeira Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória SC won 0–1.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.210.82
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guimaraes beat GIL Vicente 1–0. Recorded in this match (GIL Vicente – Guimaraes): shots 12–11, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.21–0.82, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guimaraes's recent record differs from the season

weak

Guimaraes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsGil Vicente 12 shots, Vitória SC 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsGil Vicente 6 shots, Vitória SC 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.21 xG0.82 xGGil Vicente 1.21 xG, Vitória SC 0.82 xG
  • Possession52%48%Gil Vicente 52%, Vitória SC 48%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersGil Vicente 10 corners, Vitória SC 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsGil Vicente 11 fouls, Vitória SC 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsGil Vicente 2 cards, Vitória SC 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedZé Carlos · GIL Vicente · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuís Esteves · GIL Vicente · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMurilo · GIL Vicente · 13′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHéctor Hernández · GIL Vicente · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Espigares · GIL Vicente · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 2′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGustavo Varela · GIL Vicente · 69′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGustavo Varela · GIL Vicente · 29′ · 0.06 xG · on targetOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 66′ · 0.07 xG · goalSanti García · GIL Vicente · 69′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Varela · GIL Vicente · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNoah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 33′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Sousa · Guimaraes · 29′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedHéctor Hernández · GIL Vicente · 82′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 47′ · 0.23 xG · on targetGustavo Varela · GIL Vicente · 58′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedAgustín Moreira · GIL Vicente · 57′ · 0.36 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

GIL Vicente: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.21 xG. Guimaraes: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Gustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: GIL Vicente 1.21 xG · Guimaraes 0.85 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Gil Vicente
1Draws
3Vitória SC
Vitória SC — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga0–0
Gil Vicente — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga0–1
Vitória SC — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga4–0
Gil Vicente — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga1–0
Vitória SC — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gil Vicente favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória SC in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gil Vicente32 matchesVitória SC32 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.28 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.38 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.28 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots32/3213.3 shots/match
4.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/324.06 shots/match
50.5%Possession32/3250.5%
5.56 corners/match ●Corners32/324.38 corners/match
2.56 cards/matchCards25/252.56 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls32/3214.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGil VicenteVitória SC
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headGil Vicente — Vitória SC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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