PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitória SC 2–0 Rio Ave · Primeira Liga

2–0Historical match

Rio Ave

WLWDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória SC won 2–0.

Shots
115
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.130.59
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guimaraes beat Rio Ave 2–0. Recorded in this match (Guimaraes – Rio Ave): shots 11–5, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.13–0.59, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guimaraes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Guimaraes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rio Ave have a visible away split

moderate

Rio Ave's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.12 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Guimaraes show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Guimaraes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsGuimaraes · Rio Ave10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGuimaraesRio AveBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots5 shotsVitória SC 11 shots, Rio Ave 5 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsVitória SC 3 shots, Rio Ave 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG0.59 xGVitória SC 1.13 xG, Rio Ave 0.59 xG
  • Possession56%44%Vitória SC 56%, Rio Ave 44%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersVitória SC 3 corners, Rio Ave 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls13 foulsVitória SC 7 fouls, Rio Ave 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsVitória SC 4 cards, Rio Ave 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

João Mendes · Guimaraes · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNoah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTony Strata · Guimaraes · 90′ · 0.03 xG · goalRafael Lobato · Rio Ave · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTamblé Monteiro · Rio Ave · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 41′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 70′ · 0.10 xG · on targetOle Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 67′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSamu · Guimaraes · 76′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedDario Špikić · Rio Ave · 56′ · 0.32 xG · on targetSamu · Guimaraes · 72′ · 0.60 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Guimaraes: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.15 xG. Rio Ave: 5 shots, 4 on target, 0.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Samu · Guimaraes · 72′Tony Strata · Guimaraes · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Guimaraes 1.15 xG · Rio Ave 0.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Vitória SC
1Draws
1Rio Ave
Rio Ave — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga0–1
Vitória SC — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga3–0
Rio Ave — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga2–2
Rio Ave — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga2–1
Vitória SC — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória SC favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Rio Ave in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória SC33 matchesRio Ave33 matches
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.12 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.67 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.08 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots33/3310.8 shots/match
4.03 shots/matchShots on target33/334.21 shots/match
50.6% ●Possession33/3348.2%
4.33 corners/matchCorners33/33● 4.42 corners/match
2.56 cards/matchCards25/242.75 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitória SCRio Ave
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headVitória SC — Rio Ave
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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