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Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio José Gomes

CF Estrela Amadora 0–1 Sporting · Primeira Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 0–1.

Shots
910
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.370.62
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting CP beat Estrela 1–0. Recorded in this match (Estrela – Sporting CP): shots 9–10, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.37–0.62, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sporting CP show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Sporting CP's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsEstrela · Sporting CP18 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEstrelaSporting CPBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match18 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match8.14 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Estrela have a visible home split

moderate

Estrela's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Estrela's recent record differs from the season

weak

Estrela's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 9 shots, Sporting 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 3 shots, Sporting 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.37 xG0.62 xGCF Estrela Amadora 0.37 xG, Sporting 0.62 xG
  • Possession33%67%CF Estrela Amadora 33%, Sporting 67%
  • Corners4 corners13 cornersCF Estrela Amadora 4 corners, Sporting 13 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsCF Estrela Amadora 14 fouls, Sporting 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardCF Estrela Amadora 3 cards, Sporting 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRobinho · Estrela · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJovane Cabral · Estrela · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIanis Stoica · Estrela · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMax Scholze · Estrela · 70′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOtavio · Estrela · 80′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEddy Doué · Estrela · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEddy Doué · Estrela · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Bragança · Sporting CP · 59′ · 0.07 xG · goalMaximiliano Araújo · Sporting CP · 7′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJorge Meireles · Estrela · 80′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSydney van Hooijdonk · Estrela · 83′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 32′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Estrela: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.38 xG. Sporting CP: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Daniel Bragança · Sporting CP · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Estrela 0.38 xG · Sporting CP 0.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CF Estrela Amadora
0Draws
5Sporting
Sporting — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga4–0
CF Estrela Amadora — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–3
Sporting — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga5–1
CF Estrela Amadora — Sporting · Primeira Liga1–2
Sporting — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CF Estrela Amadora favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CF Estrela Amadora31 matchesSporting29 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored31/29▲ 2.72 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed31/29▲ 0.59 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals29/28▲ 2.09 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots31/29▲ 18 shots/match
3.84 shots/matchShots on target31/29▲ 7.1 shots/match
48.8%Possession31/29● 61.8%
3.77 corners/matchCorners31/29● 7.28 corners/match
2.68 cards/matchCards25/252.44 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls31/2912.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCF Estrela AmadoraSporting
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headCF Estrela Amadora — Sporting
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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