PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025

Rio Ave 2–2 AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

WWWLW
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rio Ave and AVS - Futebol SAD drew 2–2.

Shots
2013
Shots on target
87
Expected goals
2.361.6
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rio Ave and AVS - Futebol SAD drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Rio Ave – AVS - Futebol SAD): shots 20–13, shots on target 8–7, expected goals 2.36–1.6, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rio Ave's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rio Ave's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots13 shotsRio Ave 20 shots, AVS - Futebol SAD 13 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots7 shotsRio Ave 8 shots, AVS - Futebol SAD 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.36 xG1.6 xGRio Ave 2.36 xG, AVS - Futebol SAD 1.6 xG
  • Possession66%34%Rio Ave 66%, AVS - Futebol SAD 34%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersRio Ave 4 corners, AVS - Futebol SAD 9 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsRio Ave 9 fouls, AVS - Futebol SAD 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pedro Lima · AVS - Futebol SAD · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPedro Lima · AVS - Futebol SAD · 60′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRafael Lobato · Rio Ave · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOle Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 18′ · 0.02 xG · goalJalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDario Špikić · Rio Ave · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Perea · AVS - Futebol SAD · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDiogo Bezerra · Rio Ave · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Ndoj · Rio Ave · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTomané · AVS - Futebol SAD · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 55′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPedro Lima · AVS - Futebol SAD · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOle Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDario Špikić · Rio Ave · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Bezerra · Rio Ave · 8′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Ndoj · Rio Ave · 23′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDario Špikić · Rio Ave · 37′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDario Špikić · Rio Ave · 66′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPedro Lima · AVS - Futebol SAD · 84′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDiogo Bezerra · Rio Ave · 47′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDiego Duarte · AVS - Futebol SAD · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 78′ · 0.15 xG · on targetTamblé Monteiro · Rio Ave · 80′ · 0.26 xG · on targetJalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 27′ · 0.28 xG · on targetDiogo Bezerra · Rio Ave · 27′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedPedro Lima · AVS - Futebol SAD · 68′ · 0.47 xG · goalTomané · AVS - Futebol SAD · 32′ · 0.51 xG · goalAndreas Ndoj · Rio Ave · 79′ · 0.63 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rio Ave: 20 shots, 8 on target, 2.41 xG. AVS - Futebol SAD: 13 shots, 7 on target, 1.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ole Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 18′Andreas Ndoj · Rio Ave · 79′Tomané · AVS - Futebol SAD · 32′Pedro Lima · AVS - Futebol SAD · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rio Ave 2.41 xG · AVS - Futebol SAD 1.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Rio Ave
1Draws
1AVS - Futebol SAD
AVS - Futebol SAD — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga1–2
Rio Ave — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga1–1
AVS - Futebol SAD — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rio Ave favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · AVS - Futebol SAD in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rio Ave32 matchesAVS - Futebol SAD30 matches
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/300.7 goals/match
1.66 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/302.13 goals/match
1.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/300.87 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots32/3010.9 shots/match
4.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/303.03 shots/match
48.3% ●Possession32/3040.3%
4.41 corners/match ●Corners32/303.77 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls32/3014 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 Apr 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRio AveAVS - Futebol SAD
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headRio Ave — AVS - Futebol SAD
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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