PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting 4–2 Santa Clara · Primeira Liga

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 4–2.

Shots
227
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
2.660.65
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting CP beat Santa Clara 4–2. Recorded in this match (Sporting CP – Santa Clara): shots 22–7, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 2.66–0.65, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santa Clara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santa Clara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.97 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Santa Clara show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Santa Clara's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSporting CP · Santa Clara12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSporting CPSanta ClaraBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against8.11 shots/match9.83 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Sporting CP have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.6% ●PossessionSporting CP · Santa Clara48.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSporting CPSanta ClaraBaseline
Possession61.6%48.9%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots7 shotsSporting 22 shots, Santa Clara 7 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsSporting 8 shots, Santa Clara 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.66 xG0.65 xGSporting 2.66 xG, Santa Clara 0.65 xG
  • Possession71%29%Sporting 71%, Santa Clara 29%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersSporting 9 corners, Santa Clara 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls22 foulsSporting 12 fouls, Santa Clara 22 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsSporting 4 cards, Santa Clara 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 37′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMorten Hjulmand · Sporting CP · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHidemasa Morita · Sporting CP · 26′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetZeno Debast · Sporting CP · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Lopes · Santa Clara · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Bragança · Sporting CP · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuis Fernando · Santa Clara · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Vagiannidis · Sporting CP · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRafael Nel · Sporting CP · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 42′ · 0.05 xG · goalPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHidemasa Morita · Sporting CP · 42′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 32′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLuis Fernando · Santa Clara · 13′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEduardo Quaresma · Sporting CP · 35′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Klismahn · Santa Clara · 3′ · 0.18 xG · goalSouleymane Faye · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Bragança · Sporting CP · 39′ · 0.21 xG · goalGonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 89′ · 0.27 xG · goalRafael Nel · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.30 xG · goalRafael Nel · Sporting CP · 60′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 22′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sporting CP: 22 shots, 8 on target, 2.71 xG. Santa Clara: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Pedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 22′Daniel Bragança · Sporting CP · 39′Francisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 42′Rafael Nel · Sporting CP · 90′Gustavo Klismahn · Santa Clara · 3′Gonçalo Paciência · Santa Clara · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sporting CP 2.71 xG · Santa Clara 0.64 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Sporting
0Draws
1Santa Clara
Santa Clara — Sporting · Taca de Portugal2–3
Santa Clara — Sporting · Primeira Liga1–2
Santa Clara — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–1
Sporting — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga0–1
Sporting — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Santa Clara in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting28 matchesSanta Clara30 matches
2.79 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/300.97 goals/match
0.61 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/301.17 goals/match
2.14 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/291.05 xG/match
18.3 shots/match ▲Shots28/3012.1 shots/match
7.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/303.4 shots/match
61.6% ●Possession28/3048.9%
7.07 corners/match ●Corners28/304.77 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards25/263.23 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls28/3015.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSportingSanta Clara
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headSporting — Santa Clara
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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