Primeira Liga · 2025Fri, 3 Apr 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Gil Vicente

LLDDL

3–0Full-time recap

AVS - Futebol SAD

LDDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Gil Vicente	AVS - Futebol SAD
Shots	16 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.91 xG/match▲	0.42 xG/match
Possession	59%●	41%
Corners	3 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Gil Vicente: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.00 xG. AVS - Futebol SAD: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gil Vicente 2.00 xG · AVS - Futebol SAD 0.42 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AVS - Futebol SAD's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: AVS - Futebol SAD's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

AVS - Futebol SAD's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AVS - Futebol SAD's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.64 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0 goals/match	0.64 goals/match	1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AVS - Futebol SAD show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AVS - Futebol SAD's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14 shots/match▲ShotsGil Vicente · AVS - Futebol SAD10.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Gil Vicente	AVS - Futebol SAD	Baseline
Shots	14 shots/match	10.6 shots/match	12.2 shots/match
Shots against	10.4 shots/match	14.7 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Gil Vicente have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.5%●PossessionGil Vicente · AVS - Futebol SAD40.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Gil Vicente	AVS - Futebol SAD	Baseline
Possession	50.5%	40.6%	49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Gil Vicente

1Draws

1AVS - Futebol SAD

9 Nov 2025AVS - Futebol SAD — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga1–1

27 Jan 2025AVS - Futebol SAD — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga1–0

16 Aug 2024Gil Vicente — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Gil Vicente favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · AVS - Futebol SAD in 0 · 2 too close

1.53 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 30/280.64 goals/match

0.97 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 30/282.18 goals/match

1.38 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 29/280.84 xG/match

0.99 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 29/281.73 xG/match

14 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 30/2810.6 shots/match

10.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 30/2814.7 shots/match

4.7 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 30/282.86 shots/match

3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 30/285.21 shots/match

50.5%●Possessionseason · 30/2840.6%

5.43 corners/match●Cornersseason · 30/283.54 corners/match

3.6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 30/285.79 corners/match

2.56 cards/matchCardsseason · 25/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/2814 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/2814%

80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 30/2839%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Gil Vicente60.5

AVS - Futebol SAD2.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Gil Vicente76.3

AVS - Futebol SAD16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Gil Vicente72.8

AVS - Futebol SAD7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Gil Vicente86.8

AVS - Futebol SAD71.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Gil Vicente36.4

AVS - Futebol SAD52.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Gil Vicente76.3

AVS - Futebol SAD10.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Gil Vicente68.4

AVS - Futebol SAD27

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Gil Vicente30 matchesAVS - Futebol SAD28 matches

1.53 goals/match▲Goals scored30/280.64 goals/match

0.97 goals/match▲Goals allowed30/282.18 goals/match

1.38 xG/match▲Expected goals29/280.84 xG/match

14 shots/match▲Shots30/2810.6 shots/match

4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target30/282.86 shots/match

50.5%●Possession30/2840.6%

5.43 corners/match●Corners30/283.54 corners/match

2.56 cards/matchCards25/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFouls30/2814 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Gil Vicente15 matchesAVS - Futebol SAD14 matches

1.87 goals/match▲Goals scored15/140.57 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/142.64 goals/match

1.4 xG/match▲Expected goals15/140.81 xG/match

15.1 shots/match▲Shots15/1410.1 shots/match

5.07 shots/match▲Shots on target15/142.29 shots/match

50.3%●Possession15/1440.1%

5 corners/match●Corners15/143.43 corners/match

2.08 cards/matchCards12/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1413.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.8 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples30 / 28home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Apr 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4