Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitória SC 1–1 FC Alverca · Primeira Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória SC and FC Alverca drew 1–1.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.32.16
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guimaraes and Alverca drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Guimaraes – Alverca): shots 15–11, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.3–2.16, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guimaraes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Guimaraes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Alverca show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Alverca's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsGuimaraes · Alverca9.16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGuimaraesAlvercaBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match9.16 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsVitória SC 15 shots, FC Alverca 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsVitória SC 6 shots, FC Alverca 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG2.16 xGVitória SC 1.3 xG, FC Alverca 2.16 xG
  • Possession53%47%Vitória SC 53%, FC Alverca 47%
  • Corners0 corners11 cornersVitória SC 0 corners, FC Alverca 11 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls5 foulsVitória SC 16 fouls, FC Alverca 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsVitória SC 1 card, FC Alverca 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nabil Touaizi · Alverca · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBeni Mukendi · Guimaraes · 14′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTony Strata · Guimaraes · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRhaldney · Alverca · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Sousa · Guimaraes · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Sousa · Guimaraes · 15′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTony Strata · Guimaraes · 41′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 62′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarko Milovanović · Alverca · 3′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarko Milovanović · Alverca · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 46′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLincoln · Alverca · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNoah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOrest Lebedenko · Guimaraes · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Alverca · 44′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Alverca · 6′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSandro Lima · Alverca · 90′ · 0.19 xG · on targetSamu · Guimaraes · 46′ · 0.20 xG · goalAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 41′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Alverca · 5′ · 0.29 xG · on targetAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 40′ · 0.30 xG · on targetNabil Touaizi · Alverca · 4′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedFigueiredo · Alverca · 66′ · 0.96 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Guimaraes: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.32 xG. Alverca: 11 shots, 5 on target, 2.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Samu · Guimaraes · 46′Figueiredo · Alverca · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Guimaraes 1.32 xG · Alverca 2.23 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vitória SC
0Draws
1FC Alverca
FC Alverca — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória SC favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · FC Alverca in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória SC25 matchesFC Alverca25 matches
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.08 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.6 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.24 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots25/259.16 shots/match
3.84 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.56 shots/match
49.5% ●Possession25/2543.9%
4.44 corners/match ●Corners25/253.84 corners/match
2.58 cards/matchCards24/242.67 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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