PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025

AVS - Futebol SAD 0–0 CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AVS - Futebol SAD and CF Estrela Amadora drew 0–0.

Shots
1116
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.780.68
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

AVS - Futebol SAD and CF Estrela Amadora drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (AVS - Futebol SAD – CF Estrela Amadora): shots 11–16, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.78–0.68, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CF Estrela Amadora's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CF Estrela Amadora's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CF Estrela Amadora have a visible away split

moderate

CF Estrela Amadora's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.46 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.46 shots/match11 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

CF Estrela Amadora have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.8%PossessionAVS - Futebol SAD · CF Estrela Amadora● 49%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAVS - Futebol SADCF Estrela AmadoraBaseline
Possession40.8%49%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots16 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 11 shots, CF Estrela Amadora 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 3 shots, CF Estrela Amadora 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG0.68 xGAVS - Futebol SAD 0.78 xG, CF Estrela Amadora 0.68 xG
  • Possession40%60%AVS - Futebol SAD 40%, CF Estrela Amadora 60%
  • Corners7 corners9 cornersAVS - Futebol SAD 7 corners, CF Estrela Amadora 9 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls9 foulsAVS - Futebol SAD 17 fouls, CF Estrela Amadora 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Daniel Rivas · AVS - Futebol SAD · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedIanis Stoica · CF Estrela Amadora · 54′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedOtavio · CF Estrela Amadora · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJovane Cabral · CF Estrela Amadora · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Pinho · CF Estrela Amadora · 59′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJorge Meireles · CF Estrela Amadora · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Moreira · CF Estrela Amadora · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSydney van Hooijdonk · CF Estrela Amadora · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIanis Stoica · CF Estrela Amadora · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPonck · AVS - Futebol SAD · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJovane Cabral · CF Estrela Amadora · 36′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJovane Cabral · CF Estrela Amadora · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPaulo Moreira · CF Estrela Amadora · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Perea · AVS - Futebol SAD · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJorge Meireles · CF Estrela Amadora · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Algobia · AVS - Futebol SAD · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 70′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKiki · AVS - Futebol SAD · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStefan Leković · CF Estrela Amadora · 87′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAderllan Santos · AVS - Futebol SAD · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Algobia · AVS - Futebol SAD · 25′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRodrigo Pinho · CF Estrela Amadora · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedStefan Leković · CF Estrela Amadora · 7′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 64′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTomané · AVS - Futebol SAD · 18′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Schappo · CF Estrela Amadora · 16′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Mendonca · AVS - Futebol SAD · 66′ · 0.22 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AVS - Futebol SAD: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.78 xG. CF Estrela Amadora: 16 shots, 6 on target, 0.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AVS - Futebol SAD 0.78 xG · CF Estrela Amadora 0.66 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1AVS - Futebol SAD
1Draws
1CF Estrela Amadora
CF Estrela Amadora — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga3–0
CF Estrela Amadora — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga0–1
AVS - Futebol SAD — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AVS - Futebol SAD favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · CF Estrela Amadora in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AVS - Futebol SAD24 matchesCF Estrela Amadora26 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored24/26▲ 1.12 goals/match
2.38 goals/matchGoals allowed24/26▲ 1.58 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.13 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots24/2611 shots/match
2.96 shots/matchShots on target24/26▲ 3.77 shots/match
40.8%Possession24/26● 49%
3.67 corners/matchCorners24/26● 3.73 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls24/2614.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Feb 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAVS - Futebol SADCF Estrela Amadora
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headAVS - Futebol SAD — CF Estrela Amadora
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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