Primeira Liga · 2025Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 15:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

FC Alverca

DLDDD

0–0Full-time recap

AVS - Futebol SAD

LLWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FC Alverca	AVS - Futebol SAD
Shots	17 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.97 xG/match▲	0.42 xG/match
Possession	69%●	31%
Corners	8 corners/match●	0 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

FC Alverca: 17 shots, 2 on target, 0.98 xG. AVS - Futebol SAD: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Alverca 0.98 xG · AVS - Futebol SAD 0.43 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC Alverca's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: FC Alverca's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

FC Alverca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Alverca's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Alverca have a visible home split

moderate

FC Alverca's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.67 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.2 shots/match	9.67 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1FC Alverca

0Draws

0AVS - Futebol SAD

4 Oct 2025AVS - Futebol SAD — FC Alverca · Primeira Liga1–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

FC Alverca favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · AVS - Futebol SAD in 1 · 2 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 27/250.72 goals/match

1.48 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 27/252.28 goals/match

1.23 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 25/250.88 xG/match

1.36 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 25/251.79 xG/match

9.67 shots/matchShotsseason · 27/25▲10.7 shots/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 27/2514.8 shots/match

3.41 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 27/252.92 shots/match

4.15 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 27/255.36 shots/match

45.7%●Possessionseason · 27/2540.4%

4.11 corners/match●Cornersseason · 27/253.52 corners/match

4.04 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 27/255.84 corners/match

2.6 cards/matchCardsseason · 25/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2513.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

26%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/2512%

70%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2544%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Alverca23.7

AVS - Futebol SAD2.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Alverca19.3

AVS - Futebol SAD16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Alverca50

AVS - Futebol SAD7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Alverca23.7

AVS - Futebol SAD71.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Alverca27.5

AVS - Futebol SAD52.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Alverca39.5

AVS - Futebol SAD10.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Alverca21.1

AVS - Futebol SAD27

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

FC Alverca27 matchesAVS - Futebol SAD25 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored27/250.72 goals/match

1.48 goals/match▲Goals allowed27/252.28 goals/match

1.23 xG/match▲Expected goals25/250.88 xG/match

9.67 shots/matchShots27/25▲10.7 shots/match

3.41 shots/match▲Shots on target27/252.92 shots/match

45.7%●Possession27/2540.4%

4.11 corners/match●Corners27/253.52 corners/match

2.6 cards/matchCards25/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls27/2513.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

FC Alverca14 matchesAVS - Futebol SAD12 matches

0.79 goals/match▲Goals scored14/120.67 goals/match

1.14 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/122.83 goals/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goals13/120.85 xG/match

11.2 shots/match▲Shots14/1210.1 shots/match

3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target14/122.25 shots/match

49.9%●Possession14/1240%

4.57 corners/match●Corners14/123.42 corners/match

2.08 cards/matchCards13/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1213.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples27 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4