PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave 1–2 Moreirense · Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

WLLLL
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Moreirense won 1–2.

Shots
186
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.250.45
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Moreirense beat Rio Ave 2–1. Recorded in this match (Rio Ave – Moreirense): shots 18–6, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.25–0.45, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rio Ave's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rio Ave's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots6 shotsRio Ave 18 shots, Moreirense 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsRio Ave 6 shots, Moreirense 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.25 xG0.45 xGRio Ave 1.25 xG, Moreirense 0.45 xG
  • Possession60%40%Rio Ave 60%, Moreirense 40%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerRio Ave 7 corners, Moreirense 1 corner
  • Fouls17 fouls24 foulsRio Ave 17 fouls, Moreirense 24 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsRio Ave 1 card, Moreirense 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cedric Teguia · Moreirense · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDiogo Bezerra · Rio Ave · 7′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRodrigo Alonso · Moreirense · 17′ · 0.02 xG · goalDario Špikić · Rio Ave · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Ndoj · Rio Ave · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Alonso · Moreirense · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 42′ · 0.03 xG · goalMateja Stjepanović · Moreirense · 57′ · 0.03 xG · goalOle Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDiogo Bezerra · Rio Ave · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOle Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Mancha · Rio Ave · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDario Špikić · Rio Ave · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTamás Nikitscher · Rio Ave · 35′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYan Maranhão · Moreirense · 53′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOle Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 61′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 85′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 59′ · 0.19 xG · on targetYan Maranhão · Moreirense · 90′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Bezerra · Rio Ave · 38′ · 0.30 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rio Ave: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.31 xG. Moreirense: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 42′Rodrigo Alonso · Moreirense · 17′Mateja Stjepanović · Moreirense · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rio Ave 1.31 xG · Moreirense 0.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Rio Ave
1Draws
2Moreirense
Moreirense — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga3–1
Moreirense — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga0–2
Rio Ave — Moreirense · Primeira Liga3–2
Moreirense — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga0–0
Rio Ave — Moreirense · Primeira Liga0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rio Ave favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Moreirense in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rio Ave23 matchesMoreirense23 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.91 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.3 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1 xG/match
9.87 shots/match ▲Shots23/239.09 shots/match
3.91 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.43 shots/match
47.1%Possession23/23● 50.1%
4.22 corners/match ●Corners23/233.78 corners/match
2.68 cards/matchCards22/222.86 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2314.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 17 Feb 2026, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRio AveMoreirense
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headRio Ave — Moreirense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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