PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense 0–3 Sporting · Primeira Liga

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 0–3.

Shots
615
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
0.371.38
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting CP beat Moreirense 3–0. Recorded in this match (Moreirense – Sporting CP): shots 6–15, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 0.37–1.38, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Moreirense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Moreirense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Moreirense show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Moreirense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.96 shots/match ▲ShotsMoreirense · Sporting CP18.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMoreirenseSporting CPBaseline
Shots8.96 shots/match18.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match7.96 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Sporting CP have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.6%PossessionMoreirense · Sporting CP● 62.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMoreirenseSporting CPBaseline
Possession49.6%62.4%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsMoreirense 6 shots, Sporting 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsMoreirense 2 shots, Sporting 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.37 xG1.38 xGMoreirense 0.37 xG, Sporting 1.38 xG
  • Possession38%62%Moreirense 38%, Sporting 62%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersMoreirense 1 corner, Sporting 8 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsMoreirense 12 fouls, Sporting 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardMoreirense 1 card, Sporting 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maximiliano Araújo · Sporting CP · 85′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 56′ · 0.02 xG · goalAlan · Moreirense · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNile John · Moreirense · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodrigo Alonso · Moreirense · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuis Guilherme · Sporting CP · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 75′ · 0.05 xG · goalFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 15′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYan Maranhão · Moreirense · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuis Guilherme · Sporting CP · 15′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNile John · Moreirense · 65′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHidemasa Morita · Sporting CP · 49′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJoão Simões · Sporting CP · 87′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDinis Pinto · Moreirense · 39′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 52′ · 0.19 xG · goalFotis Ioannidis · Sporting CP · 84′ · 0.23 xG · on targetFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 8′ · 0.25 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Moreirense: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.38 xG. Sporting CP: 15 shots, 8 on target, 1.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Francisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 52′Geny Catamo · Sporting CP · 56′Luis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Moreirense 0.38 xG · Sporting CP 1.35 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Moreirense
0Draws
4Sporting
Sporting — Moreirense · Primeira Liga3–0
Sporting — Moreirense · Primeira Liga3–1
Moreirense — Sporting · Primeira Liga2–1
Moreirense — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–2
Sporting — Moreirense · Primeira Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Moreirense favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Moreirense24 matchesSporting24 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 2.71 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 0.5 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 2.16 xG/match
8.96 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 18.6 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 7.29 shots/match
49.6%Possession24/24● 62.4%
3.67 corners/matchCorners24/24● 7.46 corners/match
2.78 cards/matchCards23/232.43 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls24/2412.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMoreirenseSporting
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headMoreirense — Sporting
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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