PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Do Dragão

FC Porto 1–0 Rio Ave · Primeira Liga

1–0Historical match

Rio Ave

LLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Porto won 1–0.

Shots
166
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.950.24
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Porto beat Rio Ave 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Porto – Rio Ave): shots 16–6, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.95–0.24, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rio Ave's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rio Ave's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rio Ave show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rio Ave's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Porto · Rio Ave9.71 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC PortoRio AveBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match9.71 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against9.63 shots/match16.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Porto have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.8% ●PossessionFC Porto · Rio Ave47%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC PortoRio AveBaseline
Possession56.8%47%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots6 shotsFC Porto 16 shots, Rio Ave 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotFC Porto 3 shots, Rio Ave 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.95 xG0.24 xGFC Porto 1.95 xG, Rio Ave 0.24 xG
  • Possession55%45%FC Porto 55%, Rio Ave 45%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerFC Porto 10 corners, Rio Ave 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsFC Porto 14 fouls, Rio Ave 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsFC Porto 2 cards, Rio Ave 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ole Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedZaidu Sanusi · FC Porto · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSeko Fofana · FC Porto · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Bezerra · Rio Ave · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTamás Nikitscher · Rio Ave · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlan Varela · FC Porto · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOle Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPepê · FC Porto · 61′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOle Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Gomes · FC Porto · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabri Veiga · FC Porto · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVictor Froholdt · FC Porto · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGabri Veiga · FC Porto · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGabri Veiga · FC Porto · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGabri Veiga · FC Porto · 33′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOle Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 12′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGabri Veiga · FC Porto · 62′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBorja Sainz · FC Porto · 89′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedVictor Froholdt · FC Porto · 61′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Mora · FC Porto · 89′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedPablo Rosario · FC Porto · 86′ · 0.34 xG · on targetVictor Froholdt · FC Porto · 22′ · 0.43 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Porto: 16 shots, 3 on target, 2.04 xG. Rio Ave: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Victor Froholdt · FC Porto · 22′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Porto 2.04 xG · Rio Ave 0.23 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3FC Porto
2Draws
0Rio Ave
Rio Ave — FC Porto · Primeira Liga0–3
Rio Ave — FC Porto · Primeira Liga2–2
FC Porto — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga2–0
FC Porto — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga0–0
Rio Ave — FC Porto · Primeira Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Porto favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Rio Ave in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Porto24 matchesRio Ave24 matches
1.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.04 goals/match
0.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.88 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/230.9 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots24/249.71 shots/match
5.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.79 shots/match
56.8% ●Possession24/2447%
5.71 corners/match ●Corners24/244.08 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards23/232.7 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls24/2413.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Feb 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC PortoRio Ave
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Porto — Rio Ave
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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