La Liga · 2025Sat, 23 May 2026, 19:00 UTCEstadio de Mestalla

Valencia

WLWDW

3–1Historical match

Barcelona

WWWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Valencia won 3–1.

Shots: 1911
Shots on target: 64
Expected goals: 1.481.52
Possession: 24%76%

This match

Match statistics

Shots19 shots11 shotsValencia 19 shots, Barcelona 11 shots
Shots on target6 shots4 shotsValencia 6 shots, Barcelona 4 shots
Expected goals1.48 xG1.52 xGValencia 1.48 xG, Barcelona 1.52 xG
Possession24%76%Valencia 24%, Barcelona 76%
Corners7 corners8 cornersValencia 7 corners, Barcelona 8 corners
Fouls11 fouls8 foulsValencia 11 fouls, Barcelona 8 fouls
Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsValencia 2 cards, Barcelona 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Valencia: 19 shots, 6 on target, 1.51 xG. Barcelona: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.51 xG · Barcelona 1.54 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia beat Barcelona 3–1. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Barcelona): shots 19–11, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.48–1.52, possession 24%–76%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.21 goals/match	1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsValencia · Barcelona18.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Valencia	Barcelona	Baseline
Shots	11.8 shots/match	18.2 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	11.8 shots/match	9.13 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.7%PossessionValencia · Barcelona● 68.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Valencia	Barcelona	Baseline
Possession	47.7%	68.8%	49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Valencia

1Draws

4Barcelona

14 Sept 2025Barcelona — Valencia · La Liga6–0

26 Jan 2025Barcelona — Valencia · La Liga7–1

17 Aug 2024Valencia — Barcelona · La Liga1–2

29 Apr 2024Barcelona — Valencia · La Liga4–2

16 Dec 2023Valencia — Barcelona · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Barcelona in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia38 matchesBarcelona38 matches

1.21 goals/matchGoals scored38/38▲ 2.5 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲ 0.95 goals/match

1.31 xG/matchExpected goals38/38▲ 2.25 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots38/38▲ 18.2 shots/match

3.24 shots/matchShots on target38/38▲ 6.76 shots/match

47.7%Possession38/38● 68.8%

5.08 corners/matchCorners38/38● 6.89 corners/match

2.1 cards/matchCards29/291.72 cards/match

12.1 fouls/matchFouls38/389.47 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia37.5

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia31.7

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia60.8

Barcelona94.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia47.5

Barcelona67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia26.2

Barcelona2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia67.5

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia37.5

Barcelona73.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 3 matches

6.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.99 days

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples38 / 38home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4