PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Anoeta

Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia · La Liga

3–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Valencia won 3–4.

Shots
813
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.151.67
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia beat Real Sociedad 4–3. Recorded in this match (Real Sociedad – Valencia): shots 8–13, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.15–1.67, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Sociedad, Valencia.

2.96 days ▲Rest daysReal Sociedad · Valencia3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal SociedadValenciaBaseline
Rest days2.96 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.84 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.84 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsReal Sociedad 8 shots, Valencia 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsReal Sociedad 3 shots, Valencia 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.15 xG1.67 xGReal Sociedad 1.15 xG, Valencia 1.67 xG
  • Possession55%45%Real Sociedad 55%, Valencia 45%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersReal Sociedad 3 corners, Valencia 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsReal Sociedad 13 fouls, Valencia 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards0 cardsReal Sociedad 4 cards, Valencia 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luis Rioja · Valencia · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAritz Elustondo · Real Sociedad · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 8′ · 0.03 xG · goalGuido Rodríguez · Valencia · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFilip Ugrinić · Valencia · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuido Rodríguez · Valencia · 89′ · 0.04 xG · goalDiego López · Valencia · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAihen Muñoz · Real Sociedad · 3′ · 0.07 xG · goalLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 85′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 24′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCésar Tárrega · Real Sociedad · 60′ · 0.10 xG · goalUmar Sadiq · Valencia · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetOrri Steinn Óskarsson · Real Sociedad · 42′ · 0.12 xG · on targetOrri Steinn Óskarsson · Real Sociedad · 34′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSergio Gómez · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 86′ · 0.17 xG · on targetCarlos Soler · Real Sociedad · 35′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 22′ · 0.33 xG · goalOrri Steinn Óskarsson · Real Sociedad · 63′ · 0.43 xG · goalJavier Guerra · Valencia · 90′ · 0.63 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Sociedad: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.24 xG. Valencia: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Aihen Muñoz · Real Sociedad · 3′César Tárrega · Real Sociedad · 60′Orri Steinn Óskarsson · Real Sociedad · 63′Javier Guerra · Valencia · 8′Hugo Duro · Valencia · 22′Guido Rodríguez · Valencia · 89′Javier Guerra · Valencia · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 1.24 xG · Valencia 1.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Real Sociedad
1Draws
1Valencia
Valencia — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–1
Valencia — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–0
Real Sociedad — Valencia · La Liga3–0
Real Sociedad — Valencia · La Liga1–0
Valencia — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Sociedad favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Sociedad37 matchesValencia37 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored37/371.16 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲ 1.46 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals37/371.31 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots37/3711.6 shots/match
4.62 shots/match ▲Shots on target37/373.16 shots/match
51.3% ●Possession37/3748.3%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners37/375.03 corners/match
2.23 cards/matchCards31/282.11 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls37/3712.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal SociedadValencia
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headReal Sociedad — Valencia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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