La Liga · 2025Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
42Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 4–2.

Shots
138
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
1.90.81
Possession
74%26%

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsReal Madrid 13 shots, Athletic Club 8 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsReal Madrid 8 shots, Athletic Club 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.9 xG0.81 xGReal Madrid 1.9 xG, Athletic Club 0.81 xG
  • Possession74%26%Real Madrid 74%, Athletic Club 26%
  • Corners2 corners1 cornerReal Madrid 2 corners, Athletic Club 1 corner
  • Fouls6 fouls20 foulsReal Madrid 6 fouls, Athletic Club 20 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsReal Madrid 2 cards, Athletic Club 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Valverde · Real Madrid · 87′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThiago Pitarch · Real Madrid · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdama Boiro · Athletic Club · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Athletic Club · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedUrko Izeta · Athletic Club · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 51′ · 0.04 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 41′ · 0.06 xG · goalDavid Alaba · Real Madrid · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 62′ · 0.10 xG · on targetThiago Pitarch · Real Madrid · 25′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 57′ · 0.14 xG · on targetGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 45′ · 0.18 xG · goalUrko Izeta · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.37 xG · goalGonzalo García · Real Madrid · 12′ · 0.49 xG · goalBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 88′ · 0.72 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 13 shots, 8 on target, 1.90 xG. Athletic Club: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Gonzalo García · Real Madrid · 12′Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 41′Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 51′Brahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 88′Gorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 45′Urko Izeta · Athletic Club · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 1.90 xG · Athletic Club 0.78 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Athletic Club 4–2. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Athletic Club): shots 13–8, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 1.9–0.81, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.29 corners/match CornersReal Madrid · Athletic Club5.76 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridAthletic ClubBaseline
Corners6.29 corners/match5.76 corners/match4.59 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

weak

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Madrid, Athletic Club.

6.08 days Rest daysReal Madrid · Athletic Club6.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal MadridAthletic ClubBaseline
Rest days6.08 days6.08 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Real Madrid
0Draws
1Athletic Club
Athletic ClubReal Madrid · La Liga03
Real MadridAthletic Club · La Liga10
Athletic ClubReal Madrid · La Liga21
Real MadridAthletic Club · La Liga20
Athletic ClubReal Madrid · La Liga02

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid38 matchesAthletic Club38 matches
2.03 goals/match Goals scored38/381.13 goals/match
0.92 goals/match Goals allowed38/381.53 goals/match
2.03 xG/match Expected goals38/381.33 xG/match
17.5 shots/match Shots38/3813.7 shots/match
6.66 shots/match Shots on target38/384.53 shots/match
59.4% Possession38/3848.6%
6.29 corners/match Corners38/385.76 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards29/292.45 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls38/3813.6 fouls/match

Style profile

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Madrid92.5
Athletic Club47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Madrid92.5
Athletic Club56.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Madrid92.5
Athletic Club54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Madrid92.5
Athletic Club77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid13.8
Athletic Club67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid87.5
Athletic Club82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Madrid70.0
Athletic Club75.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

  • Rest before fixture · Both teams: 6.08 days
  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 3 matches

Real Madrid / Athletic Club

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidencelimited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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