PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 23 May 2026, 19:00 UTCFull time

Mallorca

3–0Full-time recap

Oviedo

This page now describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Mallorca's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Key factors

The clearest supported patterns

Strength combines sample and difference. It is not a probability.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricHomeAwayBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.68 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Mallorca have a visible home split

moderate

Mallorca's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHomeAwayBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match10.9 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Mallorca, Oviedo.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricHomeAwayBaseline
Rest days6.08 days6.08 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mallorca32.5
Oviedo22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mallorca43.3
Oviedo5.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mallorca28.3
Oviedo8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mallorca32.5
Oviedo12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mallorca47.5
Oviedo65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 87%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mallorca2.5
Oviedo22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mallorca31.2
Oviedo22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
MetricMallorcaOviedo
Goals scored1.2 goals/match5 obs.0 goals/match5 obs.
Goals allowed1.2 goals/match5 obs.1.8 goals/match5 obs.
Expected goals1.26 xG/match5 obs.0.68 xG/match5 obs.
Shots13.4 shots/match5 obs.9.2 shots/match5 obs.
Shots on target4.8 shots/match5 obs.2 shots/match5 obs.
Possession57.2%5 obs.47.8%5 obs.
Corners4.2 corners/match5 obs.4 corners/match5 obs.
Cards—1 obs.—1 obs.
Fouls17 fouls/match5 obs.9.6 fouls/match5 obs.

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
MetricMallorcaOviedo
Goals scored1.4 goals/match10 obs.0.8 goals/match10 obs.
Goals allowed1.2 goals/match10 obs.1.6 goals/match10 obs.
Expected goals1.28 xG/match10 obs.0.9 xG/match10 obs.
Shots12 shots/match10 obs.9.9 shots/match10 obs.
Shots on target4.4 shots/match10 obs.2.9 shots/match10 obs.
Possession52.9%10 obs.52.1%10 obs.
Corners4.6 corners/match10 obs.4 corners/match10 obs.
Cards—1 obs.—2 obs.
Fouls14.8 fouls/match10 obs.12 fouls/match10 obs.

Window

Season

38 / 38 matches
MetricMallorcaOviedo
Goals scored1.24 goals/match38 obs.0.68 goals/match38 obs.
Goals allowed1.5 goals/match38 obs.1.58 goals/match38 obs.
Expected goals1.35 xG/match11 obs.0.9 xG/match12 obs.
Shots10.9 shots/match38 obs.9.87 shots/match38 obs.
Shots on target4.13 shots/match38 obs.3.16 shots/match38 obs.
Possession47%38 obs.46.1%38 obs.
Corners3.68 corners/match38 obs.3.95 corners/match38 obs.
Cards2.41 cards/match29 obs.2.64 cards/match28 obs.
Fouls12.3 fouls/match38 obs.12.5 fouls/match38 obs.

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

19 / 19 matches
MetricMallorcaOviedo
Goals scored1.63 goals/match19 obs.0.89 goals/match19 obs.
Goals allowed1.11 goals/match19 obs.2.21 goals/match19 obs.
Expected goals1.86 xG/match6 obs.1.12 xG/match6 obs.
Shots12.9 shots/match19 obs.9.63 shots/match19 obs.
Shots on target4.89 shots/match19 obs.3.16 shots/match19 obs.
Possession48.5%19 obs.42.6%19 obs.
Corners4 corners/match19 obs.3.26 corners/match19 obs.
Cards2.21 cards/match14 obs.2.85 cards/match13 obs.
Fouls12 fouls/match19 obs.13.3 fouls/match19 obs.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

MetricHomeAwayCompetitionSamples
Goals scoredseason1.24 goals/match55th0.68 goals/match3th1.22 goals/match38 / 38
Goals allowedseason1.5 goals/match70th1.58 goals/match85th1.45 goals/match38 / 38
Expected goalsseason1.35 xG/match63th0.9 xG/match8th1.25 xG/match11 / 12
Expected goals allowedseason1.34 xG/match78th1.33 xG/match73th1.23 xG/match11 / 12
Shotsseason10.9 shots/match23th9.87 shots/match8th12 shots/match38 / 38
Shots allowedseason14.2 shots/match83th14.8 shots/match93th12.5 shots/match38 / 38
Shots on targetseason4.13 shots/match53th3.16 shots/match8th4.12 shots/match38 / 38
Shots on target allowedseason4.45 shots/match63th5.55 shots/match98th4.22 shots/match38 / 38
Possessionseason47%33th46.1%23th49.4%38 / 38
Cornersseason3.68 corners/match3th3.95 corners/match23th4.58 corners/match38 / 38
Corners allowedseason6.32 corners/match98th5.55 corners/match88th4.77 corners/match38 / 38
Cardsseason2.41 cards/match48th2.64 cards/match78th2.43 cards/match29 / 28
Foulsseason12.3 fouls/match48th12.5 fouls/match53th12.4 fouls/match38 / 38
Clean-sheet frequencyseason16%20th26%65th24%38 / 38
Scoring frequencyseason76%53th45%3th76%38 / 38

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

MetricHomeAwayCompetitionSamples
Rest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures6.08 days—6.08 days——1 / 1
Matches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures3 matches—3 matches——1 / 1

What could change this?

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
TeamsMallorcaOviedo
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v3