PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 23 May 2026, 19:00 UTCFull time

Getafe

1–0Full-time recap

Osasuna

This page now describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Key factors

The clearest supported patterns

Strength combines sample and difference. It is not a probability.

Osasuna have a visible away split

strong

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricHomeAwayBaseline
Shots8.84 shots/match11.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Osasuna's last-five shots average is above their season average.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricHomeAwayBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Getafe.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricHomeAwayBaseline
Rest days6.08 days6.08 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Getafe2.5
Osasuna27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Getafe4.2
Osasuna36.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Getafe80.8
Osasuna45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Getafe27.5
Osasuna52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Getafe92.5
Osasuna75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Getafe42.5
Osasuna7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Getafe36.2
Osasuna37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
MetricGetafeOsasuna
Goals scored0.8 goals/match5 obs.1 goals/match5 obs.
Goals allowed0.8 goals/match5 obs.2 goals/match5 obs.
Expected goals0.95 xG/match5 obs.1.14 xG/match5 obs.
Shots9.8 shots/match5 obs.14.4 shots/match5 obs.
Shots on target2.8 shots/match5 obs.5.2 shots/match5 obs.
Possession49%5 obs.47%5 obs.
Corners3.8 corners/match5 obs.5 corners/match5 obs.
Cards—2 obs.—2 obs.
Fouls14 fouls/match5 obs.13.4 fouls/match5 obs.

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
MetricGetafeOsasuna
Goals scored0.9 goals/match10 obs.1.1 goals/match10 obs.
Goals allowed0.8 goals/match10 obs.1.5 goals/match10 obs.
Expected goals0.91 xG/match10 obs.1.28 xG/match10 obs.
Shots8.1 shots/match10 obs.13.3 shots/match10 obs.
Shots on target2.5 shots/match10 obs.5.6 shots/match10 obs.
Possession40.8%10 obs.51.1%10 obs.
Corners4.3 corners/match10 obs.4.5 corners/match10 obs.
Cards3.67 cards/match3 obs.3.75 cards/match4 obs.
Fouls15.9 fouls/match10 obs.13.8 fouls/match10 obs.

Window

Season

38 / 38 matches
MetricGetafeOsasuna
Goals scored0.84 goals/match38 obs.1.16 goals/match38 obs.
Goals allowed1 goals/match38 obs.1.32 goals/match38 obs.
Expected goals0.93 xG/match11 obs.1.2 xG/match11 obs.
Shots9.13 shots/match38 obs.11.8 shots/match38 obs.
Shots on target2.74 shots/match38 obs.4 shots/match38 obs.
Possession40.2%38 obs.46.8%38 obs.
Corners4.32 corners/match38 obs.3.71 corners/match38 obs.
Cards2.97 cards/match31 obs.2.77 cards/match31 obs.
Fouls15.1 fouls/match38 obs.13.5 fouls/match38 obs.

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

19 / 19 matches
MetricGetafeOsasuna
Goals scored0.95 goals/match19 obs.0.68 goals/match19 obs.
Goals allowed0.84 goals/match19 obs.1.37 goals/match19 obs.
Expected goals1.19 xG/match5 obs.0.78 xG/match5 obs.
Shots8.95 shots/match19 obs.8.84 shots/match19 obs.
Shots on target2.89 shots/match19 obs.2.68 shots/match19 obs.
Possession41.6%19 obs.44.2%19 obs.
Corners4.21 corners/match19 obs.2.95 corners/match19 obs.
Cards2.57 cards/match14 obs.2.88 cards/match17 obs.
Fouls14.9 fouls/match19 obs.13.3 fouls/match19 obs.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

MetricHomeAwayCompetitionSamples
Goals scoredseason0.84 goals/match8th1.16 goals/match35th1.22 goals/match38 / 38
Goals allowedseason1 goals/match13th1.32 goals/match43th1.45 goals/match38 / 38
Expected goalsseason0.93 xG/match13th1.2 xG/match43th1.25 xG/match11 / 11
Expected goals allowedseason1.11 xG/match23th1.15 xG/match38th1.23 xG/match11 / 11
Shotsseason9.13 shots/match3th11.8 shots/match43th12 shots/match38 / 38
Shots allowedseason10.9 shots/match23th12.4 shots/match48th12.5 shots/match38 / 38
Shots on targetseason2.74 shots/match3th4 shots/match33th4.12 shots/match38 / 38
Shots on target allowedseason4.03 shots/match23th4.53 shots/match73th4.22 shots/match38 / 38
Possessionseason40.2%3th46.8%28th49.4%38 / 38
Cornersseason4.32 corners/match43th3.71 corners/match8th4.58 corners/match38 / 38
Corners allowedseason4.63 corners/match43th4.82 corners/match58th4.77 corners/match38 / 38
Cardsseason2.97 cards/match88th2.77 cards/match83th2.43 cards/match31 / 31
Foulsseason15.1 fouls/match98th13.5 fouls/match68th12.4 fouls/match38 / 38
Clean-sheet frequencyseason32%80th18%33th24%38 / 38
Scoring frequencyseason55%8th68%23th76%38 / 38

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

MetricHomeAwayCompetitionSamples
Rest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures6.08 days—6.08 days——1 / 1
Matches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures3 matches—2 matches——1 / 1

What could change this?

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
TeamsGetafeOsasuna
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v3