La Liga · 2025Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
10Historical match

Sevilla

LWWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 1–0.

Shots
129
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.590.8
Possession
55%45%

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots9 shotsCelta Vigo 12 shots, Sevilla 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsCelta Vigo 3 shots, Sevilla 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.59 xG0.8 xGCelta Vigo 1.59 xG, Sevilla 0.8 xG
  • Possession55%45%Celta Vigo 55%, Sevilla 45%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersCelta Vigo 4 corners, Sevilla 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls20 foulsCelta Vigo 11 fouls, Sevilla 20 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardCelta Vigo 1 card, Sevilla 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Javi Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergio Carreira · Celta Vigo · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 51′ · 0.02 xG · goalRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoel Lago · Celta Vigo · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPeque Fernández · Sevilla · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAkor Adams · Sevilla · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Gudelj · Sevilla · 88′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergio Carreira · Celta Vigo · 68′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSergio Carreira · Celta Vigo · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 6′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 77′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFer López · Celta Vigo · 49′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 58′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Sánchez · Sevilla · 44′ · 0.61 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.60 xG. Sevilla: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ilaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 1.60 xG · Sevilla 0.84 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Sevilla 1–0. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Sevilla): shots 12–9, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.59–0.8, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.2 shots/match ShotsLast 5 · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match11.5 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ShotsCelta Vigo · Sevilla11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoSevillaBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match11.5 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Celta Vigo
1Draws
1Sevilla
SevillaCelta Vigo · La Liga01
Celta VigoSevilla · La Liga32
SevillaCelta Vigo · La Liga10
SevillaCelta Vigo · La Liga12
Celta VigoSevilla · La Liga11

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo38 matchesSevilla38 matches
1.39 goals/match Goals scored38/381.21 goals/match
1.26 goals/match Goals allowed38/381.58 goals/match
1.31 xG/match Expected goals38/381.02 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots38/38 11.5 shots/match
4.03 shots/match Shots on target38/383.61 shots/match
50.4%Possession38/38 50.9%
3.79 corners/matchCorners38/38 4.79 corners/match
1.86 cards/matchCards28/293 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls38/3814.8 fouls/match

Style profile

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo57.5
Sevilla67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo40.0
Sevilla31.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo55.0
Sevilla53.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo7.5
Sevilla22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo17.5
Sevilla90.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 87%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo15.0
Sevilla57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo23.8
Sevilla48.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

  • Rest before fixture · Both teams: 6.08 days
  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches

Celta Vigo / Sevilla

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidencelimited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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