La Liga · 2025Wed, 13 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeEstadio de la CeramicaFull-time recap
23Full-time recap

Sevilla

WLLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVillarrealSevilla
Shots6 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals0.81 xG/match0.88 xG/match
Possession63%37%
Corners6 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Villarreal. A second useful context is: Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Villarreal.

3.21 daysRest daysVillarreal · Sevilla4.11 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVillarrealSevillaBaseline
Rest days3.21 days4.11 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Villarreal have a visible home split

moderate

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.86 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Villarreal
0Draws
0Sevilla
SevillaVillarreal · La Liga12

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Sevilla in 2 · 3 too close

1.86 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/361.28 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/361.61 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/90.9 xG/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/91.25 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 36/3611.5 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/3610.5 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 36/363.58 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 36/364.31 shots/match
44.4%Possessionseason · 36/3651.4%
4.03 corners/matchCornersseason · 36/364.86 corners/match
4.89 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 36/364.58 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/283.04 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3614.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3617%
86%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/3678%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal17.5
Sevilla67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal67.5
Sevilla39.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal65.8
Sevilla45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal72.5
Sevilla22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal47.5
Sevilla92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal27.5
Sevilla57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal45
Sevilla51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.89 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots5/513.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
49.8%Possession5/548%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals9/90.9 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots10/1012.1 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target10/102.8 shots/match
45.8%Possession10/1044.2%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
Cards1/2
11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1013 fouls/match

Window

Season

36 / 36 matches
1.86 goals/matchGoals scored36/361.28 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.61 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals9/90.9 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots36/3611.5 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target36/363.58 shots/match
44.4%Possession36/3651.4%
4.03 corners/matchCorners36/364.86 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards27/283.04 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls36/3614.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches
2.39 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.22 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.89 goals/match
2.07 xG/matchExpected goals4/50.61 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots18/1811.1 shots/match
5.72 shots/matchShots on target18/183.33 shots/match
48.3%Possession18/1850.3%
5.39 corners/matchCorners18/185.11 corners/match
1.64 cards/matchCards14/142.93 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls18/1813.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.11 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 13 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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