La Liga · 2025Sun, 10 May 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeEstadi Mallorca Son MoixFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMallorcaVillarreal
Shots18 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.74 xG/match1.13 xG/match
Possession56%44%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Villarreal have a visible away split

moderate

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.86 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Mallorca
0Draws
1Villarreal
VillarrealMallorca · La Liga21

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Mallorca favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Villarreal in 11 · 3 too close

1.23 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 35/351.86 goals/match
1.49 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 35/351.14 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/81.52 xG/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.07 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 35/3512.1 shots/match
14.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 35/3512.8 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 35/354.51 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 35/353.74 shots/match
45.6%Possessionseason · 35/3543.8%
3.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 35/353.97 corners/match
6.49 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 35/354.91 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/272.44 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3512.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/3523%
77%Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3586%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mallorca22.5
Villarreal17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mallorca45
Villarreal67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mallorca28.3
Villarreal67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mallorca32.5
Villarreal72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mallorca42.5
Villarreal50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 89%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mallorca7.5
Villarreal27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mallorca30
Villarreal46.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.5 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots5/511.8 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
50.2%Possession5/545%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.8 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.52 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots10/1012.1 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target10/104.5 shots/match
50.2%Possession10/1042.1%
4 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards3/2
13.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

35 / 35 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored35/351.86 goals/match
1.49 goals/matchGoals allowed35/351.14 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.52 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots35/3512.1 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target35/354.51 shots/match
45.6%Possession35/3543.8%
3.6 corners/matchCorners35/353.97 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards28/272.44 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls35/3512.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches
1.56 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.33 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.39 goals/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.95 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots18/189.33 shots/match
4.78 shots/matchShots on target18/183.28 shots/match
47.9%Possession18/1840.4%
3.94 corners/matchCorners18/182.67 corners/match
2.21 cards/matchCards14/133.31 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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