PitchMath
La Liga · 2025San Mamés

Athletic Club 0–1 Valencia · La Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Valencia won 0–1.

Shots
147
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.931.19
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia beat Athletic Club 1–0. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – Valencia): shots 14–7, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.93–1.19, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAthletic Club · Valencia11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubValenciaBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against9.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsAthletic Club 14 shots, Valencia 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsAthletic Club 4 shots, Valencia 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG1.19 xGAthletic Club 0.93 xG, Valencia 1.19 xG
  • Possession55%45%Athletic Club 55%, Valencia 45%
  • Corners13 corners5 cornersAthletic Club 13 corners, Valencia 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsAthletic Club 9 fouls, Valencia 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsAthletic Club 2 cards, Valencia 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Umar Sadiq · Valencia · 89′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRobert Navarro · Athletic Club · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikel Jauregizar · Athletic Club · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRobert Navarro · Athletic Club · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNico Williams · Athletic Club · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEray Cömert · Valencia · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 41′ · 0.05 xG · on targetUnai Gómez · Athletic Club · 75′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMikel Jauregizar · Athletic Club · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 60′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 29′ · 0.14 xG · on targetOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 19′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 60′ · 0.16 xG · on targetUmar Sadiq · Valencia · 72′ · 0.16 xG · goalHugo Duro · Valencia · 27′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Athletic Club: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.02 xG. Valencia: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Umar Sadiq · Valencia · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 1.02 xG · Valencia 1.17 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Athletic Club
0Draws
2Valencia
Valencia — Athletic Club · Copa del Rey1–2
Valencia — Athletic Club · La Liga2–0
Valencia — Athletic Club · La Liga0–1
Athletic Club — Valencia · La Liga1–0
Valencia — Athletic Club · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club35 matchesValencia35 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351.09 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed35/351.43 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals35/351.32 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots35/3511.6 shots/match
4.49 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/353.09 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession35/3548.3%
5.83 corners/match ●Corners35/355.11 corners/match
2.54 cards/matchCards28/272.15 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls35/3512.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthletic ClubValencia
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headAthletic Club — Valencia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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