La Liga · 2025Sat, 9 May 2026, 14:15 UTCFull timeEstadio Ramón Sánchez PizjuánFull-time recap

Sevilla

LWLLW

2–1Full-time recap

Espanyol

DLLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sevilla	Espanyol
Shots	21 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.5 xG/match▲	0.8 xG/match
Possession	65%	35%
Corners	4 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	17 fouls/match
Yellow cards	5 cards/match	4 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Espanyol's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Espanyol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Espanyol's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	1.09 goals/match	1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.8%▲PossessionSevilla · Espanyol41.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Sevilla	Espanyol	Baseline
Possession	51.8%	41.8%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sevilla

0Draws

1Espanyol

24 Nov 2025Espanyol — Sevilla · La Liga2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Espanyol in 6 · 4 too close

1.23 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 35/351.09 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 35/35▲1.51 goals/match

0.9 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/9▲1.19 xG/match

1.31 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 8/91.58 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 35/35▲12.7 shots/match

10.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 35/3513.5 shots/match

3.54 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 35/35▲4.06 shots/match

4.31 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 35/355.09 shots/match

51.8%Possessionseason · 35/3541.8%

4.89 corners/matchCornersseason · 35/354.71 corners/match

4.54 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 35/354.6 corners/match

3.04 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/28▲2.39 cards/match

14.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3513.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/35▲26%

77%Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3574%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla72.5

Espanyol7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla35.8

Espanyol46.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla45.8

Espanyol24.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla22.5

Espanyol92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla90

Espanyol60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla57.5

Espanyol52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla50

Espanyol61.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.13 xG/match

13.2 shots/match▲Shots5/512 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.4 shots/match

47%Possession5/537.8%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/516.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.7 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match

0.9 xG/matchExpected goals8/9▲1.19 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲13 shots/match

2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.8 shots/match

46%Possession10/1040.4%

4.6 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/35 cards/match

13.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1016.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

35 / 35 matches

1.23 goals/match▲Goals scored35/351.09 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲1.51 goals/match

0.9 xG/matchExpected goals8/9▲1.19 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots35/35▲12.7 shots/match

3.54 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲4.06 shots/match

51.8%Possession35/3541.8%

4.89 corners/matchCorners35/354.71 corners/match

3.04 cards/matchCards28/282.39 cards/match

14.7 fouls/matchFouls35/3513.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181.11 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.67 goals/match

1.26 xG/match▲Expected goals4/51.09 xG/match

11.9 shots/matchShots18/1812.1 shots/match

3.83 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.5 shots/match

52.4%Possession18/1838.8%

4.61 corners/matchCorners18/184.33 corners/match

3.14 cards/matchCards14/142.29 cards/match

15.3 fouls/matchFouls18/1813.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.8 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples35 / 35home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match

Match statistics

What the record shows

Espanyol's recent record differs from the season

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match