La Liga · 2025Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeReale ArenaFull-time recap

Real Sociedad

WLDWL

3–1Full-time recap

Osasuna

WDWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Sociedad	Osasuna
Shots	15 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.97 xG/match▲	0.46 xG/match
Possession	49%	51%
Corners	3 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.54 goals/match	1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.07 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.07 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Real Sociedad

1Draws

0Osasuna

13 Jan 2026Real Sociedad — Osasuna · Copa del Rey2–2

22 Nov 2025Osasuna — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Osasuna in 2 · 6 too close

1.54 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 28/281.18 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/28▲1.25 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

12.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 28/2811.3 shots/match

13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/2812.9 shots/match

4.82 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 28/283.43 shots/match

4.11 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 28/284.71 shots/match

49.8%Possessionseason · 28/2845.2%

5.64 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/283.43 corners/match

4.68 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/284.71 corners/match

2.11 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 27/272.63 cards/match

14.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2813.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/28▲21%

89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2864%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad52.5

Osasuna32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad73.3

Osasuna36.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad43.3

Osasuna43.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad62.5

Osasuna52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad55

Osasuna75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad77.5

Osasuna7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad76.2

Osasuna35.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

12.4 shots/matchShots5/512.2 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match

52.6%Possession5/545.6%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCards4/43 cards/match

14 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.5 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.6 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match

46.3%Possession10/1045.6%

4.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match

1.78 cards/matchCards9/92.89 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 28 matches

1.54 goals/match▲Goals scored28/281.18 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲1.25 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

12.9 shots/match▲Shots28/2811.3 shots/match

4.82 shots/match▲Shots on target28/283.43 shots/match

49.8%Possession28/2845.2%

5.64 corners/matchCorners28/283.43 corners/match

2.11 cards/matchCards27/272.63 cards/match

14.7 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 15 matches

1.93 goals/match▲Goals scored14/150.6 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed14/15▲1.27 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

13 shots/match▲Shots14/159.07 shots/match

5.14 shots/match▲Shots on target14/152.33 shots/match

49.5%Possession14/1543%

5.71 corners/matchCorners14/153.07 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards13/142.86 cards/match

14.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1512.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.29 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples28 / 28home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 16 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4