La Liga · 2025Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio de La CartujaFull-time recap

Real Betis

WWDDL

1–1Full-time recap

Celta Vigo

LDWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Betis	Celta Vigo
Shots	19 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.49 xG/match▲	0.56 xG/match
Possession	52%	48%
Corners	3 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	16 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.54 goals/match	1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Betis

1Draws

0Celta Vigo

27 Aug 2025Celta Vigo — Real Betis · La Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 4 · 7 too close

1.54 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 28/281.36 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/28▲1.11 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

14.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 28/2810.8 shots/match

12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/2812 shots/match

4.82 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 28/284.11 shots/match

4.32 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/28▲4.04 shots/match

49.8%Possessionseason · 28/2850.4%

4.54 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/284.14 corners/match

5.29 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/28▲4.64 corners/match

2.04 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/27▲1.89 cards/match

10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2811.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/2829%

89%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2886%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis57.5

Celta Vigo62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis80.8

Celta Vigo45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis51.7

Celta Vigo69.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis87.5

Celta Vigo17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis15

Celta Vigo18.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis52.5

Celta Vigo35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis58.1

Celta Vigo33.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

14.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match

50%Possession5/548.4%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards4/41 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

14.2 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/104.7 shots/match

51.1%Possession10/1051.5%

3.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards9/91.78 cards/match

10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 28 matches

1.54 goals/match▲Goals scored28/281.36 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲1.11 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

14.6 shots/match▲Shots28/2810.8 shots/match

4.82 shots/match▲Shots on target28/284.11 shots/match

49.8%Possession28/2850.4%

4.54 corners/matchCorners28/284.14 corners/match

2.04 cards/matchCards27/271.89 cards/match

10.5 fouls/matchFouls28/2811.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.29 goals/match

1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

15.7 shots/match▲Shots14/149.57 shots/match

5.07 shots/match▲Shots on target14/144 shots/match

50.5%Possession14/1448.6%

4.29 corners/matchCorners14/143.57 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards13/132 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples28 / 28home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4