PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Levante UD · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano and Levante UD drew 1–1.

Shots
1819
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.731.24
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano and Levante drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Levante): shots 18–19, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.73–1.24, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Levante11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoLevanteBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match16.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible home split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots19 shotsRayo Vallecano 18 shots, Levante UD 19 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsRayo Vallecano 4 shots, Levante UD 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG1.24 xGRayo Vallecano 1.73 xG, Levante UD 1.24 xG
  • Possession58%42%Rayo Vallecano 58%, Levante UD 42%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersRayo Vallecano 5 corners, Levante UD 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsRayo Vallecano 10 fouls, Levante UD 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards5 cardsRayo Vallecano 3 cards, Levante UD 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIván Romero · Levante · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIván Romero · Levante · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVíctor García · Levante · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFran Pérez · Rayo Vallecano · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCarlos Espí · Levante · 41′ · 0.02 xG · goalCarlos Espí · Levante · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Rayo Vallecano · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPacha · Rayo Vallecano · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIván Romero · Levante · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIker Losada · Levante · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIván Romero · Levante · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKervin Arriaga · Levante · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedManuel Sánchez · Levante · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIker Losada · Levante · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVíctor García · Levante · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVíctor García · Levante · 73′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCarlos Espí · Levante · 44′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJeremy Toljan · Levante · 44′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIván Romero · Levante · 70′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPaco Cortés · Levante · 67′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlan Matturro · Levante · 54′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 16′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Espí · Levante · 29′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.30 xG · on targetPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.75 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.76 xG. Levante: 19 shots, 5 on target, 1.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Pathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 90′Carlos Espí · Levante · 41′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 1.76 xG · Levante 1.21 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Rayo Vallecano
1Draws
1Levante UD
Levante UD — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–3
Rayo Vallecano — Levante UD · La Liga2–4
Levante UD — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Levante UD in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano28 matchesLevante UD28 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.07 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.64 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals28/281.24 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots28/2811.4 shots/match
4.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/283.32 shots/match
54% ●Possession28/2841.8%
5.79 corners/match ●Corners28/283.75 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards28/282.43 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2812.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 17 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRayo VallecanoLevante UD
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headRayo Vallecano — Levante UD
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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