PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Mon, 16 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeCampo de Futbol de VallecasFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

Levante

LLLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRayo VallecanoLevante
Shots17 shots/match19 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.7 xG/match▲1.24 xG/match
Possession57%43%
Corners5 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match▲5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Levante11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoLevanteBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match16.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Rayo Vallecano have recorded the higher season possession share.

54%▲PossessionRayo Vallecano · Levante41.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoLevanteBaseline
Possession54%41.8%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Rayo Vallecano
0Draws
0Levante
Levante — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Rayo Vallecano favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Levante in 2 · 5 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/28▲1.07 goals/match
1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 28/281.64 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—
13.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 28/2811.4 shots/match
12 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 28/2816.8 shots/match
4.61 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 28/283.32 shots/match
3.96 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 28/285.61 shots/match
54%Possessionseason · 28/2841.8%
5.79 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/283.75 corners/match
5.04 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 28/286.39 corners/match
3 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/28▲2.43 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2812.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/2818%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2864%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rayo Vallecano77.5
Levante7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rayo Vallecano52.5
Levante29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rayo Vallecano67.5
Levante5.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rayo Vallecano57.5
Levante67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano78.8
Levante46.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano82.5
Levante17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rayo Vallecano71.2
Levante30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
14.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match
54%Possession5/542.2%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
13.5 shots/matchShots10/1013.7 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match
52.5%Possession10/1041.9%
5.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 28 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲1.07 goals/match
1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowed28/281.64 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
13.5 shots/match▲Shots28/2811.4 shots/match
4.61 shots/match▲Shots on target28/283.32 shots/match
54%Possession28/2841.8%
5.79 corners/matchCorners28/283.75 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards28/282.43 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2812.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/141.14 goals/match
0.79 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.57 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
15.5 shots/match▲Shots14/1410 shots/match
5.57 shots/match▲Shots on target14/143.29 shots/match
54.4%Possession14/1440.6%
6.79 corners/matchCorners14/142.79 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards14/142.36 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.2 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 17 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsRayo VallecanoLevante
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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