PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Manuel Martínez ValeroFull-time recap

Elche

WLDDL
1–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricElcheBarcelona
Shots9 shots/match30 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match8 shots/match▲
Possession39%61%
Corners2 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match▲ShotsElche · Barcelona20.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricElcheBarcelonaBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match20.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match9.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Elche have a visible home split

moderate

Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Barcelona's recent record differs from the season

weak

Barcelona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match2.73 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Elche
0Draws
1Barcelona
Barcelona — Elche · La Liga3–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Elche favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Barcelona in 10 · 4 too close

1.36 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/22▲2.73 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 22/22▲1.05 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/22▲20.1 shots/match
15.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 22/22▲9.5 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/22▲7.55 shots/match
4.91 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/22▲3.73 shots/match
58%Possessionseason · 22/2268.4%
3.45 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/227.32 corners/match
4.82 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 22/22▲4.36 corners/match
2.05 cards/matchCardsseason · 22/22▲1.68 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/229.32 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/22▲36%
86%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/22▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Elche87.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Elche42.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Elche20.8
Barcelona89.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Elche2.5
Barcelona82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Elche40
Barcelona2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Elche17.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Elche35
Barcelona73.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9 shots/matchShots5/5▲20.8 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7 shots/match
57.4%Possession5/570.8%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/58.6 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.8 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲20 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6.9 shots/match
56.4%Possession10/1069.1%
3.8 corners/matchCorners10/107.9 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/101.2 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/109.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 22 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲2.73 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲1.05 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.9 shots/matchShots22/22▲20.1 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲7.55 shots/match
58%Possession22/2268.4%
3.45 corners/matchCorners22/227.32 corners/match
2.05 cards/matchCards22/221.68 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls22/229.32 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲2.42 goals/match
1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.3 shots/matchShots12/12▲20.2 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲7.5 shots/match
59.2%Possession12/1268.5%
3.92 corners/matchCorners12/127.08 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards12/122.33 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls12/129.58 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.2 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsElcheBarcelona
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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