PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Ramón Sánchez PizjuánFull-time recap

Sevilla

LLDWL
0–3Full-time recap

Levante

LLLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSevillaLevante
Shots15 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession64%36%
Corners5 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Levante's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Levante's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Levante's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sevilla show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsSevilla · Levante10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSevillaLevanteBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match10.2 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match17.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.4%▲PossessionSevilla · Levante41.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSevillaLevanteBaseline
Possession54.4%41.3%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Levante in 1 · 4 too close

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 18/171.18 goals/match
1.61 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 18/171.71 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 18/1710.2 shots/match
10.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 18/1717.1 shots/match
3.72 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 18/173.47 shots/match
4.61 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 18/175.65 shots/match
54.4%Possessionseason · 18/1741.3%
5.11 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/173.24 corners/match
4.94 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 18/177.35 corners/match
3.28 cards/matchCardsseason · 18/17▲2.59 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1712.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1718%
78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 18/1771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla77.5
Levante7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla49.2
Levante29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla39.2
Levante6.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla17.5
Levante62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla92.5
Levante63.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla60
Levante12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla56.9
Levante25.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
56.8%Possession5/547.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
3.6 cards/matchCards5/53.8 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.7 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.6 shots/match
56.9%Possession10/1043.2%
6.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards10/102.7 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

18 / 17 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored18/171.18 goals/match
1.61 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/171.71 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shots18/1710.2 shots/match
3.72 shots/match▲Shots on target18/173.47 shots/match
54.4%Possession18/1741.3%
5.11 corners/matchCorners18/173.24 corners/match
3.28 cards/matchCards18/172.59 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls18/1712.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 10 matches
1.56 goals/match▲Goals scored9/101.3 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed9/10▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/match▲Shots9/1010 shots/match
4.22 shots/match▲Shots on target9/103.6 shots/match
57.6%Possession9/1042.4%
5.22 corners/matchCorners9/102.4 corners/match
3.11 cards/matchCards9/102.4 cards/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls9/1012.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.9 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples18 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSevillaLevante
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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