PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 15:15 UTCFull timeEstadio Santiago BernabéuFull-time recap
5–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal MadridReal Betis
Shots19 shots/match▲13 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Possession61%39%
Corners5 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.4 shots/match▲ShotsReal Madrid · Real Betis14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridReal BetisBaseline
Shots19.4 shots/match14.9 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.8%▲PossessionReal Madrid · Real Betis49.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridReal BetisBaseline
Possession58.8%49.1%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Madrid favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Real Betis in 0 · 6 too close

2.16 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 19/181.67 goals/match
0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 19/181.33 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
19.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 19/1814.9 shots/match
10.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 19/1812.7 shots/match
7.21 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 19/185 shots/match
3.42 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 19/184.28 shots/match
58.8%Possessionseason · 19/1849.1%
6.26 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/185.11 corners/match
3.58 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 19/185.56 corners/match
2.05 cards/matchCardsseason · 19/182.06 cards/match
9.95 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1810.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
42%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1833%
89%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1889%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Madrid87.5
Real Betis42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Madrid92.5
Real Betis81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Madrid89.2
Real Betis46.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Madrid97.5
Real Betis87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid20
Real Betis26.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid82.5
Real Betis60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Madrid68.8
Real Betis60.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.2 shots/match▲Shots5/514.2 shots/match
7.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.6 shots/match
56.4%Possession5/540.4%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.7 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1015.1 shots/match
7.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/105.3 shots/match
54.4%Possession10/1048.2%
7.3 corners/matchCorners10/105.1 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 18 matches
2.16 goals/match▲Goals scored19/181.67 goals/match
0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/181.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.4 shots/match▲Shots19/1814.9 shots/match
7.21 shots/match▲Shots on target19/185 shots/match
58.8%Possession19/1849.1%
6.26 corners/matchCorners19/185.11 corners/match
2.05 cards/matchCards19/182.06 cards/match
9.95 fouls/matchFouls19/1810.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.44 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
20.1 shots/match▲Shots9/913.2 shots/match
7.67 shots/match▲Shots on target9/94.22 shots/match
60%Possession9/948.2%
6.44 corners/matchCorners9/95.22 corners/match
2.89 cards/matchCards9/92.33 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls9/911.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.8 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal MadridReal Betis
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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