PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Mon, 15 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeCampo de Futbol de VallecasFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRayo VallecanoReal Betis
Shots23 shots/match▲13 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Possession59%41%
Corners8 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.81 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible home split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Real Betis14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoReal BetisBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match14.8 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Rayo Vallecano favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Real Betis in 5 · 6 too close

0.81 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲1.56 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/161.19 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/16▲14.8 shots/match
11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1612.1 shots/match
4.31 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/16▲4.81 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/164.06 shots/match
54.5%Possessionseason · 16/1649.8%
6.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.81 corners/match
5.25 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/165.63 corners/match
2.88 cards/matchCardsseason · 16/16▲2.25 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1610.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1631%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲88%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rayo Vallecano82.5
Real Betis57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rayo Vallecano50
Real Betis80.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rayo Vallecano68.3
Real Betis55.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rayo Vallecano57.5
Real Betis87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano81.2
Real Betis28.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano77.5
Real Betis47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rayo Vallecano72.5
Real Betis56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.6 shots/matchShots5/514.2 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.8 shots/match
57.2%Possession5/545%
6.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/matchShots10/1014.3 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.9 shots/match
55.2%Possession10/1049.5%
6.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
2.9 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲1.56 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.19 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.3 shots/matchShots16/16▲14.8 shots/match
4.31 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲4.81 shots/match
54.5%Possession16/1649.8%
6.25 corners/matchCorners16/164.81 corners/match
2.88 cards/matchCards16/162.25 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches
0.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/8▲1.38 goals/match
0.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/81 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.4 shots/match▲Shots7/813.3 shots/match
5.43 shots/match▲Shots on target7/84.13 shots/match
54.4%Possession7/849.4%
8 corners/matchCorners7/84.88 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards7/82.5 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/811 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 16 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsRayo VallecanoReal Betis
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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