PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia 1–1 Real Betis · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Valencia and Real Betis drew 1–1.

Shots
179
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.941.6
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia and Real Betis drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Real Betis): shots 17–9, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.94–1.6, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsValencia · Real Betis14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricValenciaReal BetisBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match14.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsValencia 17 shots, Real Betis 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsValencia 4 shots, Real Betis 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.94 xG1.6 xGValencia 1.94 xG, Real Betis 1.6 xG
  • Possession43%57%Valencia 43%, Real Betis 57%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersValencia 7 corners, Real Betis 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsValencia 13 fouls, Real Betis 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsValencia 4 cards, Real Betis 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

André Almeida · Valencia · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDani Raba · Valencia · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNatan · Real Betis · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDani Raba · Valencia · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNatan · Real Betis · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiovani Lo Celso · Real Betis · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 82′ · 0.07 xG · goalJesús Vázquez · Valencia · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 9′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDiego López · Valencia · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCésar Tárrega · Valencia · 69′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 20′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 36′ · 0.27 xG · on targetLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 36′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 30′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 4′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 6′ · 0.53 xG · on targetCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 74′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 17 shots, 4 on target, 1.94 xG. Real Betis: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Luis Rioja · Valencia · 82′Cucho Hernández · Real Betis · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.94 xG · Real Betis 1.64 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Valencia
2Draws
2Real Betis
Real Betis — Valencia · La Liga1–1
Valencia — Real Betis · La Liga4–2
Valencia — Real Betis · La Liga1–2
Real Betis — Valencia · La Liga3–0
Real Betis — Valencia · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Real Betis in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia12 matchesReal Betis12 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.47 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 14.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 4.58 shots/match
46.3%Possession12/12● 52.4%
4.92 corners/match ●Corners12/124.58 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards12/122 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls12/129.08 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsValenciaReal Betis
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headValencia — Real Betis
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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