PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio de MestallaFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricValenciaReal Betis
Shots17 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession43%57%
Corners7 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsValencia · Real Betis14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricValenciaReal BetisBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match14.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Real Betis in 7 · 5 too close

0.92 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲1.58 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲1.08 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲14.5 shots/match
13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲11.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲4.58 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲3.58 shots/match
46.3%Possessionseason · 12/1252.3%
4.92 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/124.58 corners/match
5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/125.75 corners/match
1.83 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 12/122 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/129.08 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1225%
58%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/12▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia32.5
Real Betis67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia18.3
Real Betis79.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia17.5
Real Betis70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia32.5
Real Betis77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia30
Real Betis12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia57.5
Real Betis32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia35.6
Real Betis48.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.8 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.2 shots/match
45.4%Possession5/555.2%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/58.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.6 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.6 shots/match
45.7%Possession10/1054.7%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls10/108.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.58 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲1.08 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots12/12▲14.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲4.58 shots/match
46.3%Possession12/1252.3%
4.92 corners/matchCorners12/124.58 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards12/122 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls12/129.08 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.5 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.3 shots/matchShots6/614 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/63.83 shots/match
52%Possession6/653.2%
6.67 corners/matchCorners6/65.33 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards6/62.67 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/69.83 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsValenciaReal Betis
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match