PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeEstadio El SadarFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaRayo Vallecano
Shots9 shots/match19 shots/match▲
Shots on target7 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Possession36%64%
Corners3 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Rayo Vallecano have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.25 shots/match▲ShotsOsasuna · Rayo Vallecano13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaRayo VallecanoBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.1 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match9.75 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Rayo Vallecano have recorded the higher season possession share.

44%▲PossessionOsasuna · Rayo Vallecano55.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaRayo VallecanoBaseline
Possession44%55.5%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 0 · 14 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.25 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.25 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/413.3 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/49.75 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.5 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/44 shots/match
44%Possessionseason · 4/455.5%
2.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/46.25 corners/match
4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/43 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42.75 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/413.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna27.5
Rayo Vallecano67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna29.2
Rayo Vallecano60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna60
Rayo Vallecano52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna32.5
Rayo Vallecano52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna58.8
Rayo Vallecano68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna20
Rayo Vallecano67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna35
Rayo Vallecano65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.25 shots/matchShots4/4▲13.3 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.5 shots/match
44%Possession4/455.5%
2.25 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/413.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.25 shots/matchShots4/4▲13.3 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.5 shots/match
44%Possession4/455.5%
2.25 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/413.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.25 shots/matchShots4/4▲13.3 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.5 shots/match
44%Possession4/455.5%
2.25 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/413.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 3 matches
—Goals scored2/31 goals/match
—Goals allowed2/31.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots2/313.7 shots/match
—Shots on target2/34 shots/match
—Possession2/359.7%
—Corners2/35.33 corners/match
—Cards2/32.33 cards/match
—Fouls2/312.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsOsasunaRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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