PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 12:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Abanca BalaídosFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCelta VigoGirona
Shots21 shots/match▲13 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match8 shots/match▲
Possession60%40%
Corners10 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Girona11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoGironaBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.1 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match17.3 shots/match10.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.2%▲PossessionCelta Vigo · Girona47.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoGironaBaseline
Possession58.2%47.5%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Girona in 0 · 14 too close

0.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/40.5 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/42.75 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/411.3 shots/match
10 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/417.3 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/44.25 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/45.75 shots/match
58.2%Possessionseason · 5/447.5%
6.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/44.25 corners/match
3.6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/46.25 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/41.5 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/47.75 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/40%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo87.5
Girona32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo44.2
Girona44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo47.5
Girona9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo47.5
Girona52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo31.2
Girona7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo82.5
Girona42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo57.5
Girona41.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 4 matches
0.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/40.5 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/42.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/411.3 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/4▲4.25 shots/match
58.2%Possession5/447.5%
6.8 corners/matchCorners5/44.25 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/41.5 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/47.75 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 4 matches
0.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/40.5 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/42.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/411.3 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/4▲4.25 shots/match
58.2%Possession5/447.5%
6.8 corners/matchCorners5/44.25 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/41.5 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/47.75 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 4 matches
0.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/40.5 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/42.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/411.3 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/4▲4.25 shots/match
58.2%Possession5/447.5%
6.8 corners/matchCorners5/44.25 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/41.5 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/47.75 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 2 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/2—
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/2—
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/matchShots4/2—
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/2—
60.3%Possession4/2—
7.5 corners/matchCorners4/2—
1.25 cards/matchCards4/2—
11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.8 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCelta VigoGirona
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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