Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Jean Bouin

Paris FC 4–1 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris FC won 4–1.

Shots
1219
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.612.31
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris FC beat Monaco 4–1. Recorded in this match (Paris FC – Monaco): shots 12–19, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.61–2.31, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paris FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris FC have a visible home split

moderate

Paris FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots19 shotsParis FC 12 shots, AS Monaco 19 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsParis FC 6 shots, AS Monaco 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.61 xG2.31 xGParis FC 2.61 xG, AS Monaco 2.31 xG
  • Possession34%66%Paris FC 34%, AS Monaco 66%
  • Corners1 corner11 cornersParis FC 1 corner, AS Monaco 11 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls6 foulsParis FC 5 fouls, AS Monaco 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsParis FC 1 card, AS Monaco 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lamine Camara · Monaco · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWout Faes · Monaco · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Teze · Monaco · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Monaco · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuca Koleosho · Paris FC · 71′ · 0.04 xG · goalSimon Adingra · Monaco · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlimami Gory · Paris FC · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Monaco · 21′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Monaco · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKrépin Diatta · Monaco · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Monaco · 20′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAladji Bamba · Monaco · 40′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAnsu Fati · Monaco · 45′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJonathan Ikoné · Paris FC · 50′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · Monaco · 15′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 21′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarshall Munetsi · Paris FC · 47′ · 0.11 xG · on targetCiro Immobile · Paris FC · 47′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Coulibaly · Monaco · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Monaco · 63′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLuca Koleosho · Paris FC · 71′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 15′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMaxime López · Paris FC · 23′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Paris FC · 47′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Paris FC · 8′ · 0.25 xG · goalJonathan Ikoné · Paris FC · 4′ · 0.36 xG · goalFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 36′ · 0.43 xG · goalFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 34′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedMaxime López · Paris FC · 14′ · 0.45 xG · on targetJonathan Ikoné · Paris FC · 21′ · 0.53 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris FC: 12 shots, 6 on target, 2.54 xG. Monaco: 19 shots, 5 on target, 2.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Jonathan Ikoné · Paris FC · 4′Ciro Immobile · Paris FC · 8′Jonathan Ikoné · Paris FC · 21′Luca Koleosho · Paris FC · 71′Folarin Balogun · Monaco · 36′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris FC 2.54 xG · Monaco 2.21 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Paris FC
0Draws
0AS Monaco
AS Monaco — Paris FC · Ligue 10–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris FC favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris FC29 matchesAS Monaco29 matches
1.28 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.72 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed29/291.48 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲ 1.76 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.72 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 4.34 shots/match
51%Possession29/29● 52.8%
4.31 corners/matchCorners29/29● 4.79 corners/match
2.27 cards/matchCards26/262.58 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls29/2912.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 10 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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