Ligue 1 · 2025Stade du Moustoir

Lorient 1–1 Paris FC · Ligue 1

Lorient

DDDWL
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lorient and Paris FC drew 1–1.

Shots
107
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.181.04
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lorient and Paris FC drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lorient – Paris FC): shots 10–7, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.18–1.04, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lorient's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lorient's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris FC have a visible away split

moderate

Paris FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.47 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.47 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots7 shotsLorient 10 shots, Paris FC 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsLorient 3 shots, Paris FC 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG1.04 xGLorient 1.18 xG, Paris FC 1.04 xG
  • Possession49%51%Lorient 49%, Paris FC 51%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersLorient 5 corners, Paris FC 6 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls6 foulsLorient 8 fouls, Paris FC 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsLorient 1 card, Paris FC 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jonathan Ikoné · Paris FC · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoah Cadiou · Lorient · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJean-Victor Makengo · Lorient · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArthur Avom Ebong · Lorient · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJean-Victor Makengo · Lorient · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDiego Coppola · Paris FC · 74′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 54′ · 0.07 xG · goalAbdoulaye Faye · Lorient · 24′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPablo Pagis · Lorient · 31′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAiyegun Tosin · Lorient · 88′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Paris FC · 45′ · 0.13 xG · on targetThéo Le Bris · Lorient · 34′ · 0.16 xG · on targetSamir Chergui · Paris FC · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetNhoa Sangui · Paris FC · 45′ · 0.17 xG · on targetMarshall Munetsi · Paris FC · 74′ · 0.23 xG · goalJonathan Ikoné · Paris FC · 60′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 1′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lorient: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.15 xG. Paris FC: 7 shots, 5 on target, 1.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ahmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 54′Marshall Munetsi · Paris FC · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lorient 1.15 xG · Paris FC 1.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lorient
0Draws
1Paris FC
Lorient — Paris FC · Coupe de France2–0
Paris FC — Lorient · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lorient favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Paris FC in 1 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lorient28 matchesParis FC28 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.18 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.57 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals28/281.23 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots28/2811.4 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on target28/283.64 shots/match
45.5%Possession28/28● 51.6%
3.29 corners/matchCorners28/28● 4.43 corners/match
1.76 cards/matchCards25/262.27 cards/match
9.68 fouls/matchFouls28/2811 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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