Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 15:15 UTCFull timeStade Saint-SymphorienFull-time recap

Metz

LLLLD

0–0Full-time recap

Nantes

LWLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Metz	Nantes
Shots	19 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.31 xG/match▲	0.46 xG/match
Possession	66%	34%
Corners	6 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Metz: 19 shots, 5 on target, 2.48 xG. Nantes: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Metz 2.48 xG · Nantes 0.49 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Metz's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Metz's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Metz's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.79 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.4 shots/match	9.79 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metz have a visible home split

moderate

Metz's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.9 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.79 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.9 shots/match	9.79 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Metz

0Draws

0Nantes

2 Nov 2025Nantes — Metz · Ligue 10–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Metz favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Nantes in 4 · 6 too close

0.89 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/270.89 goals/match

2.14 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/27▲1.67 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/2—

1.11 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/2—

9.79 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/2710.3 shots/match

15.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/27▲14 shots/match

3.14 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 28/272.96 shots/match

5.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/27▲4.96 shots/match

49.1%Possessionseason · 28/2742.6%

4.07 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/273.15 corners/match

4.93 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 28/275.78 corners/match

1.85 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 26/262.04 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2712.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/2719%

54%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/27▲59%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Metz47.2

Nantes8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Metz13.9

Nantes12

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Metz2.8

Nantes15.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Metz2.8

Nantes47.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Metz27.8

Nantes50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Metz22.2

Nantes2.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Metz18.7

Nantes19.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲0.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

14.4 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match

52.4%Possession5/535%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards3/42 cards/match

13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲0.8 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.7 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

11.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.6 shots/match

3.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.9 shots/match

48.5%Possession10/1042.9%

4.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.2 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards8/92.44 cards/match

12.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 27 matches

0.89 goals/matchGoals scored28/270.89 goals/match

2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed28/27▲1.67 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

9.79 shots/matchShots28/2710.3 shots/match

3.14 shots/match▲Shots on target28/272.96 shots/match

49.1%Possession28/2742.6%

4.07 corners/matchCorners28/273.15 corners/match

1.85 cards/matchCards26/262.04 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls28/2712.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 13 matches

0.93 goals/match▲Goals scored14/130.77 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed14/13▲1.46 goals/match

—Expected goals2/1—

11.9 shots/match▲Shots14/139 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target14/132.62 shots/match

50.8%Possession14/1341.3%

4.71 corners/matchCorners14/133 corners/match

1.54 cards/matchCards13/132.23 cards/match

12.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1312.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.8 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples28 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Metz's recent record differs from the season

Metz have a visible home split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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