Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeStade Raymond-KopaFull-time recap

Angers

LLWLL
00Full-time recap

Lyon

LLDDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAngersLyon
Shots8 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals0.3 xG/match0.7 xG/match
Possession32%68%
Corners3 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match0 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ousmane Camara · Angers · 87′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Camara · Angers · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTanner Tessmann · Lyon · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAfonso Moreira · Lyon · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAinsley Maitland-Niles · Lyon · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEndrick · Lyon · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Lyon · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAfonso Moreira · Lyon · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Lyon · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTyler Morton · Lyon · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJordan Lefort · Angers · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAfonso Moreira · Lyon · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPavel Šulc · Lyon · 50′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRachid Ghezzal · Lyon · 83′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Angers: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.28 xG. Lyon: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Angers 0.28 xG · Lyon 0.72 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Angers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Lyon have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Angers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Lyon have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.5%PossessionAngers · Lyon55.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAngersLyonBaseline
Possession42.5%55.7%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Angers
0Draws
1Lyon
LyonAngers · Ligue 110

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Angers favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Lyon in 9 · 4 too close

0.86 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/281.46 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/281.04 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/30.95 xG/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.08 xG/match
9.43 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/2812.1 shots/match
13.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/2811.5 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/284.54 shots/match
4.96 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/283.68 shots/match
42.5%Possessionseason · 28/2855.7%
3.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/285.36 corners/match
5.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/284.5 corners/match
1.52 cards/matchCardsseason · 25/272.19 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2813.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
36%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/2850%
61%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2882%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Angers2.8
Lyon86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Angers11.1
Lyon60.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Angers27.8
Lyon73.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Angers25
Lyon13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Angers16.6
Lyon72.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Angers13.9
Lyon75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Angers14.6
Lyon70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.95 xG/match
9.8 shots/matchShots5/513 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
40.2%Possession5/560%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards2/42 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.95 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots10/1010.4 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/103.9 shots/match
44.2%Possession10/1054.2%
3 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
1.86 cards/matchCards7/91.89 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 28 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored28/281.46 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.04 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.95 xG/match
9.43 shots/matchShots28/2812.1 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target28/284.54 shots/match
42.5%Possession28/2855.7%
3.57 corners/matchCorners28/285.36 corners/match
1.52 cards/matchCards25/272.19 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 15 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/151.33 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed14/151.27 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
10.4 shots/matchShots14/1510.9 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target14/154.67 shots/match
44.9%Possession14/1554.6%
4.36 corners/matchCorners14/155.07 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards12/142.5 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1513.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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