Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeStade Louis IIFull-time recap
32Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMonacoStrasbourg
Shots12 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession43%57%
Corners6 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Félix Lemaréchal · Strasbourg · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEric Dier · Monaco · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFélix Lemaréchal · Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Amo-Ameyaw · Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedValentín Barco · Strasbourg · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSamir El Mourabet · Strasbourg · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDiego Moreira · Strasbourg · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · Strasbourg · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · Strasbourg · 73′ · 0.07 xG · goalMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 61′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDiego Moreira · Strasbourg · 23′ · 0.11 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 39′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 4′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 48′ · 0.18 xG · goalAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 82′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedKendry Páez · Strasbourg · 86′ · 0.30 xG · on targetTakumi Minamino · Monaco · 90′ · 0.38 xG · goalMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 6′ · 0.51 xG · goalJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 76′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monaco: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.92 xG. Strasbourg: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Maghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 6′Folarin Balogun · Monaco · 48′Takumi Minamino · Monaco · 90′Dilane Bakwa · Strasbourg · 73′Joaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monaco 1.92 xG · Strasbourg 1.66 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Monaco show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/matchShotsMonaco · Strasbourg12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonacoStrasbourgBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match7.67 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Monaco favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Strasbourg in 0 · 14 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/312 shots/match
13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/37.67 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/32 shots/match
55.7%Possessionseason · 3/356%
4.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/35 corners/match
5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/35 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/312 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/367%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Monaco75
Strasbourg80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Monaco41.7
Strasbourg43.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Monaco55.6
Strasbourg87
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Monaco8.3
Strasbourg25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Monaco27.8
Strasbourg58.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Monaco47.2
Strasbourg52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Monaco30.6
Strasbourg50.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.3 shots/matchShots3/312 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/34 shots/match
55.7%Possession3/356%
4.67 corners/matchCorners3/35 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/312 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.3 shots/matchShots3/312 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/34 shots/match
55.7%Possession3/356%
4.67 corners/matchCorners3/35 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/312 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.3 shots/matchShots3/312 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/34 shots/match
55.7%Possession3/356%
4.67 corners/matchCorners3/35 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/312 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards2/2
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.85 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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